@polymathematic: Reply to @lon671 think of the total pop number as a probability without much information. More info (in this case, age) improves the probability

Tim Ricchuiti
Tim Ricchuiti
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Friday 15 October 2021 05:25:07 GMT
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kerrisp
user1075638273341 :
I don’t really follow how the addition of “Tuesday” in the example changes the sample spaces. Any chance you can explain further?
2021-10-18 16:22:17
3
bama2chi
P.D. :
It’s not really like a bet. A bet with a 0% chance to pay out costs your stake. Efficacy is a percentage change in probabilities.
2021-10-15 18:34:30
2
andreizhitkov
Andrei :
13 out of 27 probability would only satisfy the condition of "both children are girls AND one of them is born on Tuesday".
2021-10-15 13:07:56
1
majorhavok
Major Havok :
I find it counterintuitive that the total population efficacy is significantly lower than either 50. It feels like it should be an average.
2021-10-18 17:35:07
1
johnexx2
John Exx :
isn't it a 50% likelihood of having two girls if we know at least one is a girl? known(girl)*p(g) +p(g) * known(girl)= .5*.5+.5*.5=.5
2021-10-18 17:39:28
1
sganot
smg :
As a fully vaccinated man over 50 in Israel, gotta ask: Why Israel?
2021-11-08 10:02:44
1
sithfrogkermit
Brian/Kermit/Crazy Frog :
Does this also explain the Monty Hall problem?
2021-10-23 23:51:57
0
make_fun_not_war
Bokito, ergo sum :
Thanks for enlightening me on this subject, it’s truly teaching me the stuff I like to know.
2021-11-04 21:12:34
0
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