@yuvaltheterrible: Why are you supposed to switch doors? Here’s a fairly intuitive and not super mathy explanation if you’ve never really understood why. #math #odds #probability #goats

Yuval
Yuval
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Friday 22 July 2022 21:28:25 GMT
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ktm500excf
KTM :
Can I choose the 99 goats instead?
2024-01-15 06:08:29
882
evryywhere
evryywhere :
If it’s 99 other options, I’m switching. If it’s only 3, I’ll just stick to my choice.
2024-07-13 17:03:34
394
goofy_mari17
goofy_mari17 :
I somehow understand less now
2024-08-03 02:26:51
121
nickyg1
Nicky G :
(1) I’m not sure this plays out. Once the goats are revealed, you’re in a new situation. You’re no longer choosing from 100 (or 3) doors. You’re only
2023-10-31 18:06:44
13
c.bas77
c.bas77 :
It's 50-50 because the initial premises have changed. I will die on this hill
2024-07-19 16:01:34
168
learnwithsherlock
Sherlock :
For some reason the 100 doors explanation doesn't make sense to me. I'm sure it's right, but I don't understand the extrapolation.
2022-07-24 18:28:30
18
milescallison
MCalli277 :
So this only works by banking on psychology. The statistical probability is 100/#of options, when 2 are left it is 50/50 for that individual choice.
2024-10-17 23:29:31
11
sixlegsroam
Sixlegsroam :
I heard what you said but it’s not clicking in my head. In the scenario we’re not supposed to assume the host would intentionally leave the door with
2022-07-22 23:51:25
56
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