Grant Sanderson
Region: US
Monday 08 May 2023 17:00:12 GMT
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Kendrick 🆘 :
See this would be an easier problem if I had any basis for if farmers or librarians are more common.
2023-05-08 18:52:49
76
concerta 35mg :
I cant exactly pinpoint why but something feels wrong about this conclusion
2023-05-09 13:01:54
10
Grant Sanderson :
There are reasons to disagree with K&T on this conclusion (see the end of the YT video), but it remains a great demo of how to reason with priors.
2023-05-08 17:03:55
45
genzneer :
but what's the percentage of meek librarians Vs the percentage of meek farmers. if you wanna do Bayes theorem then you can't just bring in one prior
2023-07-04 06:47:39
0
c00lnerd :
If you know that Steve is a farmer, what is the probability that he fits the description?
2023-05-08 20:12:18
3
Jakosa :
This seems like a riddle at first. Steve is fictional in a fictional world. It's surprising then, that you start using real world ratios
2023-07-28 07:58:53
1
user2552620998673 :
Yeah but if you begin by describing a "Steve" I'd think you cooked him up. For fictional characters the priors would be equal across all occupations.
2023-05-17 00:28:06
3
user666 :
Why am i so mad at myself at this. Definitely going to check out the full video now 😂😂
2023-05-08 18:11:18
3
johndoe24828 :
Chad Bayes
2023-05-08 20:40:03
4
Sleepy Polnareff :
You did put an image of him thinking about a book on your description which kinda biased my decision lol
2023-07-05 06:35:44
2
Tommy :
that's brilliant
2023-07-02 12:15:49
0
⚡⚡⚡⚡⚡⚡💖⚡⚡⚡⚡⚡⚡ :
a person not interested in worldly matters would not be that interested in books either. also a person who likes solitude will appreciate the outdoors
2023-05-08 19:17:10
2
Alice :
The probability estimate only makes sense if you only include people who match the description which doesn’t match the original question.
2023-07-28 16:17:06
0
savagerodent :
The the phrasing of the qustion feels as though its intended to lead the listener to the wrong conclusion. Was that the point?
2023-06-17 22:54:15
1
︎Dolly • Mischievous :
i thought i think differently🤦
2023-05-09 10:22:39
1
kass :
After saying he doesn’t like people/reality I thought it made more sense for him to be a farmer. I feel librarians come in contact with more people
2023-05-16 00:42:37
0
april rain :
i think its the fact that the only thing we know about Steve is his meek and tidy soul. we have to make a presumption based on nothing else
2023-05-27 22:32:55
0
PacMookBro :
Wait there are way more farmers than librarians, or did i misunderstand
2023-05-08 21:09:18
10
Niko :
To be fair on first thought I would've assumed there are more librarians than farmers
2023-05-17 03:37:21
0
Nico Sosa :
Bayes theorem is beautiful
2023-05-27 16:07:20
0
Moonyoung Choi :
Incredible
2023-05-18 05:13:01
0
🕷Tyler🕷 (Jule’s boyfriend) :
i thought of the ratio of liberians and farmers but i thought there would be more liberians💀
2023-05-17 15:37:03
0
Nico Sosa :
Also librarians have to be social… farmers dont
2023-05-27 16:07:39
0
user7910400670588 :
I didn't realise that Kermit lectured on probability
2023-07-29 22:45:01
0
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