@mankabanhlerh: #testresult

mankabantleRhy โค๏ธ๐Ÿซถ
mankabantleRhy โค๏ธ๐Ÿซถ
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Saturday 12 August 2023 14:47:19 GMT
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์ฃผ์‹์‹œ์žฅ ํ™ฉ๊ธˆ๊ธฐ ์‹œ์ž‘! ์ด ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋†“์น˜๋ฉด ํ›„ํšŒํ•จ;; #์ฃผ์‹ #์ฃผ์‹ํˆฌ์ž #๋ฏธ๊ตญ์ฃผ์‹ #S&P500 #๋‚˜์Šค๋‹ฅ #์›”๋ณ„์ˆ˜์ต๋ฅ  #๊ณ„์ ˆ์„ฑ #Seasonality #ํ†ต๊ณ„  ๋‹˜๋“ค ์ง€๊ธˆ์ด ์ฃผ์‹์‹œ์žฅ์˜ ํ™ฉ๊ธˆ๊ธฐ์ธ๊ฑฐ ์•Œ์•„?   ์ฃผ์‹์‹œ์žฅ์—๋Š” ๊ณ„์ ˆ์„ฑ์ด๋ผ๋Š”๊ฒŒ ์žˆ์–ด. ์˜์–ด๋กœ๋Š” seasonality๋ผ๊ณ  ํ•ด.  ๊ฒฐ๋ก ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ๋งํ•˜๋ฉด, 11์›”๋ถ€ํ„ฐ 4์›”๊นŒ์ง€ ์ฃผ์‹ ์‹œ์žฅ์ด ์˜ค๋ฅด๊ณ , 5์›”๋ถ€ํ„ฐ 10์›”๊นŒ์ง€๋Š” ์ง€์ง€๋ถ€์ง„ํ•ด.   ์—ฌ๊ธฐ ๋ณด์ด๋Š” ๊ฑด S&P500, ๋‚˜์Šค๋‹ฅ์ง€์ˆ˜์˜ ์ตœ๊ทผ 20๋…„๊ฐ„ ์›”๋ณ„ ์ˆ˜์ต๋ฅ ์ด์•ผ.  ๋ณด์ด๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ฒ˜๋Ÿผ ์ผ๋ฐ˜์ ์œผ๋กœ 11์›”๋ถ€ํ„ฐ 4์›”๊นŒ์ง€ ์„ฑ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ์ข‹์•„. 5์›”๋ถ€ํ„ฐ 10์›”์€ 7์›”์„ ์ œ์™ธํ•˜๋ฉด ๊ฑฐ์˜ ํšก๋ณดํ•˜๋Š” ์ˆ˜์ค€์ด์ง€  ์™œ ์ด๋Ÿฐ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ๋‚˜์˜ฌ๊นŒ? ๋งŽ์€ ์ด์œ ๋“ค์ด ์žˆ์ง€๋งŒ, ์—ฐ๋ง ์†Œ๋น„ ์ฆ๊ฐ€์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ๊ธฐ์—…์˜ ๋งค์ถœ ์ฆ๊ฐ€, ์—ฐ๋ง ๋ณด๋„ˆ์Šค๋‚˜ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ธˆ ์ง€๊ธ‰์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ์‹œ์žฅ์— ์ž๊ธˆ ์œ ์ž…, ์ƒˆํ•ด ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€๊ฐ ๋“ฑ์ด ์žˆ์–ด.   ์ •๋ถ€์—์„œ๋„ ์‹ ๋…„์— ์ƒˆ๋กญ๊ฒŒ ์‹œ์ž‘ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒฝ์ œ ์ •์ฑ…, ๊ธฐ์—…์—์„œ๋„ ์‹ ๋…„ ์‹ ์‚ฌ์—… ๋ฐœํ‘œ ๋“ฑ์ด ์žˆ๋Š” ๊ฒฝ์šฐ๊ฐ€ ๋งŽ์ž–์•„. ๊ทธ๋Ÿฐ ์ด์œ ๋“ค์ด ๋ณตํ•ฉ์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ž‘์šฉํ•˜๋Š”๊ฑฐ์•ผ. ์‚ฐํƒ€๋ž ๋ฆฌ๋ผ๋Š” ๋ง์€ ๋“ค์–ด๋ดค์ง€? ๊ทธ๋Ÿฐ ๊ฒƒ๋“ค์ด ๊ณ„์†ํ•ด์„œ ํ„ฐ์ง€๋Š” ์‹œ๊ธฐ์ธ๊ฑฐ์•ผ. ๋ฌผ๋ก  ๋ฌด์กฐ๊ฑด ์ด๋ ‡๊ฒŒ ํ˜๋Ÿฌ๊ฐˆ๊ฑฐ๋ผ๋Š”๊ฑด ์•„๋‹ˆ์•ผ. ๋‹ค๋งŒ, ํ†ต๊ณ„์ ์œผ๋กœ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฅผ ๋ณด๋ฉด ์ด ๊ณ„์ ˆ์„ฑ์€ ์ ˆ๋Œ€ ๋ฌด์‹œํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์—†์–ด.
์ฃผ์‹์‹œ์žฅ ํ™ฉ๊ธˆ๊ธฐ ์‹œ์ž‘! ์ด ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋†“์น˜๋ฉด ํ›„ํšŒํ•จ;; #์ฃผ์‹ #์ฃผ์‹ํˆฌ์ž #๋ฏธ๊ตญ์ฃผ์‹ #S&P500 #๋‚˜์Šค๋‹ฅ #์›”๋ณ„์ˆ˜์ต๋ฅ  #๊ณ„์ ˆ์„ฑ #Seasonality #ํ†ต๊ณ„ ๋‹˜๋“ค ์ง€๊ธˆ์ด ์ฃผ์‹์‹œ์žฅ์˜ ํ™ฉ๊ธˆ๊ธฐ์ธ๊ฑฐ ์•Œ์•„? ์ฃผ์‹์‹œ์žฅ์—๋Š” ๊ณ„์ ˆ์„ฑ์ด๋ผ๋Š”๊ฒŒ ์žˆ์–ด. ์˜์–ด๋กœ๋Š” seasonality๋ผ๊ณ  ํ•ด. ๊ฒฐ๋ก ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ๋งํ•˜๋ฉด, 11์›”๋ถ€ํ„ฐ 4์›”๊นŒ์ง€ ์ฃผ์‹ ์‹œ์žฅ์ด ์˜ค๋ฅด๊ณ , 5์›”๋ถ€ํ„ฐ 10์›”๊นŒ์ง€๋Š” ์ง€์ง€๋ถ€์ง„ํ•ด. ์—ฌ๊ธฐ ๋ณด์ด๋Š” ๊ฑด S&P500, ๋‚˜์Šค๋‹ฅ์ง€์ˆ˜์˜ ์ตœ๊ทผ 20๋…„๊ฐ„ ์›”๋ณ„ ์ˆ˜์ต๋ฅ ์ด์•ผ. ๋ณด์ด๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ฒ˜๋Ÿผ ์ผ๋ฐ˜์ ์œผ๋กœ 11์›”๋ถ€ํ„ฐ 4์›”๊นŒ์ง€ ์„ฑ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ์ข‹์•„. 5์›”๋ถ€ํ„ฐ 10์›”์€ 7์›”์„ ์ œ์™ธํ•˜๋ฉด ๊ฑฐ์˜ ํšก๋ณดํ•˜๋Š” ์ˆ˜์ค€์ด์ง€ ์™œ ์ด๋Ÿฐ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ๋‚˜์˜ฌ๊นŒ? ๋งŽ์€ ์ด์œ ๋“ค์ด ์žˆ์ง€๋งŒ, ์—ฐ๋ง ์†Œ๋น„ ์ฆ๊ฐ€์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ๊ธฐ์—…์˜ ๋งค์ถœ ์ฆ๊ฐ€, ์—ฐ๋ง ๋ณด๋„ˆ์Šค๋‚˜ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ธˆ ์ง€๊ธ‰์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ์‹œ์žฅ์— ์ž๊ธˆ ์œ ์ž…, ์ƒˆํ•ด ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€๊ฐ ๋“ฑ์ด ์žˆ์–ด. ์ •๋ถ€์—์„œ๋„ ์‹ ๋…„์— ์ƒˆ๋กญ๊ฒŒ ์‹œ์ž‘ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒฝ์ œ ์ •์ฑ…, ๊ธฐ์—…์—์„œ๋„ ์‹ ๋…„ ์‹ ์‚ฌ์—… ๋ฐœํ‘œ ๋“ฑ์ด ์žˆ๋Š” ๊ฒฝ์šฐ๊ฐ€ ๋งŽ์ž–์•„. ๊ทธ๋Ÿฐ ์ด์œ ๋“ค์ด ๋ณตํ•ฉ์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ž‘์šฉํ•˜๋Š”๊ฑฐ์•ผ. ์‚ฐํƒ€๋ž ๋ฆฌ๋ผ๋Š” ๋ง์€ ๋“ค์–ด๋ดค์ง€? ๊ทธ๋Ÿฐ ๊ฒƒ๋“ค์ด ๊ณ„์†ํ•ด์„œ ํ„ฐ์ง€๋Š” ์‹œ๊ธฐ์ธ๊ฑฐ์•ผ. ๋ฌผ๋ก  ๋ฌด์กฐ๊ฑด ์ด๋ ‡๊ฒŒ ํ˜๋Ÿฌ๊ฐˆ๊ฑฐ๋ผ๋Š”๊ฑด ์•„๋‹ˆ์•ผ. ๋‹ค๋งŒ, ํ†ต๊ณ„์ ์œผ๋กœ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฅผ ๋ณด๋ฉด ์ด ๊ณ„์ ˆ์„ฑ์€ ์ ˆ๋Œ€ ๋ฌด์‹œํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์—†์–ด.

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