@keithaguilar_:

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Thursday 24 August 2023 22:58:44 GMT
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Every real Bitcoin bottom printed the same 14 signals, tested against 2011, 2015, 2018 and 2022. Any signal that failed even once got thrown out in public. Volume capitulation fired at 1 of 4 bottoms, so it is not on the list. This is the September board, re-scored on the 1st of every month. August changed three rows. One went green. Price reclaimed its 200-day average on August 19 for the first time in 289 days. Two went red. A momentum spike fired on August 21, the 9th of this bear, and the previous 8 all rolled over to new lows. Then greed hit 74 on August 25, the 3rd greed episode of this bear, and greed inside bears is 6 for 6 at preceding new lows. The greens are real. At 57,735 the Fear and Greed index printed 11, price sat 13% below its 200-week average, weekly RSI hit 33 and miners capitulated with hash rate down 22%. The July low felt like a real bottom. The reds are about completion. Real bottoms fell 77 to 93% from the top, July fell 54%. Real bottoms came 12 to 13.4 months after the top, we are at month 10.9. Mature bears took 5 to 6 legs down, this one has taken 2. Every real bottom ended with a day of -13.7% or worse, July's worst was -6.4%. And every real recovery broke its downtrend before it got hot. This bear's line is 82,833 with zero closes above it. The pending row is answering itself. The rally topped at +41% on day 58 against real exits of +81% to +306%. Since then, a double top under the May high, a lower low at 76,877, a second lower low at 76,380 yesterday, and greed cooling from 74 to 63. The two clocks. The calendar clock opens the bottom window at month 12, early October. The block clock opens it in about 3,700 blocks, late September, and runs to early November. Two clocks, one window. By both, July 1 was early. The board reads 5 green, 8 red, 1 pending. Above 82,833 on a daily and weekly close we re-evaluate everything. Below 57,735 the clock rows were right. Four bottoms is a base rate, not a law. Comment CHECKLIST and I will DM you the free Bottom Checklist with every receipt. Follow @bitcoin.daily for the data on Bitcoin nobody else is showing you. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarkets #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoData
Every real Bitcoin bottom printed the same 14 signals, tested against 2011, 2015, 2018 and 2022. Any signal that failed even once got thrown out in public. Volume capitulation fired at 1 of 4 bottoms, so it is not on the list. This is the September board, re-scored on the 1st of every month. August changed three rows. One went green. Price reclaimed its 200-day average on August 19 for the first time in 289 days. Two went red. A momentum spike fired on August 21, the 9th of this bear, and the previous 8 all rolled over to new lows. Then greed hit 74 on August 25, the 3rd greed episode of this bear, and greed inside bears is 6 for 6 at preceding new lows. The greens are real. At 57,735 the Fear and Greed index printed 11, price sat 13% below its 200-week average, weekly RSI hit 33 and miners capitulated with hash rate down 22%. The July low felt like a real bottom. The reds are about completion. Real bottoms fell 77 to 93% from the top, July fell 54%. Real bottoms came 12 to 13.4 months after the top, we are at month 10.9. Mature bears took 5 to 6 legs down, this one has taken 2. Every real bottom ended with a day of -13.7% or worse, July's worst was -6.4%. And every real recovery broke its downtrend before it got hot. This bear's line is 82,833 with zero closes above it. The pending row is answering itself. The rally topped at +41% on day 58 against real exits of +81% to +306%. Since then, a double top under the May high, a lower low at 76,877, a second lower low at 76,380 yesterday, and greed cooling from 74 to 63. The two clocks. The calendar clock opens the bottom window at month 12, early October. The block clock opens it in about 3,700 blocks, late September, and runs to early November. Two clocks, one window. By both, July 1 was early. The board reads 5 green, 8 red, 1 pending. Above 82,833 on a daily and weekly close we re-evaluate everything. Below 57,735 the clock rows were right. Four bottoms is a base rate, not a law. Comment CHECKLIST and I will DM you the free Bottom Checklist with every receipt. Follow @bitcoin.daily for the data on Bitcoin nobody else is showing you. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarkets #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoData

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