@chaimae_refia: الراحة النفسية تأتي بالراحة الجسدية🧘‍♀️💪🏻#Fitness #club #zumba #gym #coach #قوة #صحة_نفسية #فتنس_عضلات #نادي #اكسبلور #قلب #Love #❤️

chaimae el refia

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Wednesday 31 January 2024 11:05:07 GMT

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#seungjin || no this is not the happy edit i said i would make but this is what you get 🤗 every song ever made is about seungjin btw || #seungmin #hyunjin #straykids #fyp

#seungjin || no this is not the happy edit i said i would make but this is what you get 🤗 every song ever made is about seungjin btw || #seungmin #hyunjin #straykids #fyp

umm... #bodin #fyp #viralvideo #school @𐙚𝚜𝚎𝚊𝚢𝚘𝚞꒱

umm... #bodin #fyp #viralvideo #school @𐙚𝚜𝚎𝚊𝚢𝚘𝚞꒱

$Este año me disfracé de una princesa de #Disney #blancanieves #teveztanfantastica #muyautentica❤😊👌 #halloweenlook$
Este año me disfracé de una princesa de #Disney #blancanieves #teveztanfantastica #muyautentica❤😊👌 #halloweenlook

You've probably heard of Occam's Razor, which says that if there are two or more explanations for a fact, you should pick the simplest and the most obvious. For example, if you wake up tomorrow morning and find the ground is all wet, it's likely because it rained in the night and not because aliens landed and had a big water fight. But Occam's Razor has an evil twin known as Occam's Broom, and it goes back to the late Daniel Dennett. Occam's Broom is when somebody sweeps away all of the facts because they are inconvenient, or do not satisfy the arguments they are trying to make. For example, it might be a journalist who is trying to prove a point, and so only includes those facts and historical data points which support them. Or it might be when a pharmaceutical company promises a new drug and they run ten trials and in four the drug works perfectly. And those four are published, written up, and celebrated. But the six in which the drug did nothing are quietly filed away, and they are never spoken of again. Occam's Broom is usually a kind of confirmation bias. It is when somebody wants to protect a belief, or to establish a certain narrative, and so they will cherry pick their facts, and they will leave out that which is inconvenient. But it is also more dangerous than an ordinary lie, because you cannot overturn that which you cannot see. If somebody leaves out the relevant data, you cannot hope to falsify it, or to challenge it. Beware anybody who presents an argument that is faultless and without any critique whatsoever, the chances are they are leaving the things that they don't want you to see.

You've probably heard of Occam's Razor, which says that if there are two or more explanations for a fact, you should pick the simplest and the most obvious. For example, if you wake up tomorrow morning and find the ground is all wet, it's likely because it rained in the night and not because aliens landed and had a big water fight. But Occam's Razor has an evil twin known as Occam's Broom, and it goes back to the late Daniel Dennett. Occam's Broom is when somebody sweeps away all of the facts because they are inconvenient, or do not satisfy the arguments they are trying to make. For example, it might be a journalist who is trying to prove a point, and so only includes those facts and historical data points which support them. Or it might be when a pharmaceutical company promises a new drug and they run ten trials and in four the drug works perfectly. And those four are published, written up, and celebrated. But the six in which the drug did nothing are quietly filed away, and they are never spoken of again. Occam's Broom is usually a kind of confirmation bias. It is when somebody wants to protect a belief, or to establish a certain narrative, and so they will cherry pick their facts, and they will leave out that which is inconvenient. But it is also more dangerous than an ordinary lie, because you cannot overturn that which you cannot see. If somebody leaves out the relevant data, you cannot hope to falsify it, or to challenge it. Beware anybody who presents an argument that is faultless and without any critique whatsoever, the chances are they are leaving the things that they don't want you to see.

#الساده_البخات_طال_عمرك #موكب_وحسنيه_الامام_الحسن_العسكري_عليه_السلام

#الساده_البخات_طال_عمرك #موكب_وحسنيه_الامام_الحسن_العسكري_عليه_السلام

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