@sullbit: the billage of perception: chapter one #billlie #mystic #lore #kpop

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Friday 20 December 2024 07:36:11 GMT
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this is fire
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take me back to this era pls
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Alberta separation the rallying continues as separatist sentiment wanes, the separatist surge in Alberta is starting to wane. An Ipsos poll, done for Global News, finds support for leaving Canada has dropped from 28 per cent to 18 per cent. The plunge has occurred since the last poll in January. This is welcome but not surprising. The separatist project is finally crashing into the real world — the enormous cost of leaving, national, Indigenous and local opposition, and Premier Danielle Smith emerging from a cloud of ambiguity to argue unequivocally for Canada. The leak of personal election data of nearly three million Alberta voters may be hurting the separatist cause, as well. It’s finally clear that some of the leaders don’t just say crazy things, they do crazy things. Alberta separatists have a huge hill to climb if they want to get majority support in the October Alberta referendum,” Ipsos says. “Currently, only two in 10 (19 per cent) say they would vote for the option to hold a future binding referendum on separation.” If the actual vote to separate ever came to pass, 18 per cent would support it. Interestingly, the lowest support for moving to a referendum vote is in Calgary, at 14 per cent. Calgary is a town of economic realists. Anything that threatens to hurt the economy is never a vote-winner. Separatist support in Edmonton is slightly higher, at 18 per cent, and highest in the rest of Alberta at 27 per cent. The separatist backing drops further in the big cities when the question is about actual separation, not this October pre-vote. We know that there’s an ugly rural-urban divide in this province. But even so, rural separatism is miles from a majority. Now, here’s one that is a shocker. We constantly hear that polls show separatism is endorsed by about 60 per cent of people who support the UCP. But the Ipsos poll shows that 50 per cent of those people would vote to stay in Canada, versus 41 per cent who would leave. In other words, federalist support among UCP backers is a majority at the decision point where it really matters. There’s a big difference, it seems, between expressing general support for separatism and voting to make it happen. (The only surprising thing about NDP supporters is that four per cent would vote to separate.) Undecided voters are 76 per cent in support of staying in Canada. “Stay” voters are also much firmer in their conviction. Ninety per cent say their vote is definite. “Leave” support is less solid. Only 70 per cent are definite. Elsewhere in Canada, 60 per cent of respondents think separation isn’t a choice for Alberta alone. They say the rest of Canada deserves a voice in the matter. Another poll, this one from Leger, suggests the whole debate has begun to shift voter support away from the UCP. This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. In April, Smith and the UCP hit peak backing since the last election, with 53 per cent of voter preference. The NDP was stuck at 36 per cent. There was talk in UCP circles of holding a snap election to crush the opposition. Two months later, the ground has shifted. The UCP has dropped to 49 per cent, while the NDP climbed to 40 per cent. The gap fell to nine points from 17. The evidence also shows that Smith’s personal approval is eroding, while Nenshi’s is climbing. These may be temporary trends. We’re still 17 month from a general election. But there’s no guesswork about what’s happening to separatism itself. #fyp #foryou
Alberta separation the rallying continues as separatist sentiment wanes, the separatist surge in Alberta is starting to wane. An Ipsos poll, done for Global News, finds support for leaving Canada has dropped from 28 per cent to 18 per cent. The plunge has occurred since the last poll in January. This is welcome but not surprising. The separatist project is finally crashing into the real world — the enormous cost of leaving, national, Indigenous and local opposition, and Premier Danielle Smith emerging from a cloud of ambiguity to argue unequivocally for Canada. The leak of personal election data of nearly three million Alberta voters may be hurting the separatist cause, as well. It’s finally clear that some of the leaders don’t just say crazy things, they do crazy things. Alberta separatists have a huge hill to climb if they want to get majority support in the October Alberta referendum,” Ipsos says. “Currently, only two in 10 (19 per cent) say they would vote for the option to hold a future binding referendum on separation.” If the actual vote to separate ever came to pass, 18 per cent would support it. Interestingly, the lowest support for moving to a referendum vote is in Calgary, at 14 per cent. Calgary is a town of economic realists. Anything that threatens to hurt the economy is never a vote-winner. Separatist support in Edmonton is slightly higher, at 18 per cent, and highest in the rest of Alberta at 27 per cent. The separatist backing drops further in the big cities when the question is about actual separation, not this October pre-vote. We know that there’s an ugly rural-urban divide in this province. But even so, rural separatism is miles from a majority. Now, here’s one that is a shocker. We constantly hear that polls show separatism is endorsed by about 60 per cent of people who support the UCP. But the Ipsos poll shows that 50 per cent of those people would vote to stay in Canada, versus 41 per cent who would leave. In other words, federalist support among UCP backers is a majority at the decision point where it really matters. There’s a big difference, it seems, between expressing general support for separatism and voting to make it happen. (The only surprising thing about NDP supporters is that four per cent would vote to separate.) Undecided voters are 76 per cent in support of staying in Canada. “Stay” voters are also much firmer in their conviction. Ninety per cent say their vote is definite. “Leave” support is less solid. Only 70 per cent are definite. Elsewhere in Canada, 60 per cent of respondents think separation isn’t a choice for Alberta alone. They say the rest of Canada deserves a voice in the matter. Another poll, this one from Leger, suggests the whole debate has begun to shift voter support away from the UCP. This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. In April, Smith and the UCP hit peak backing since the last election, with 53 per cent of voter preference. The NDP was stuck at 36 per cent. There was talk in UCP circles of holding a snap election to crush the opposition. Two months later, the ground has shifted. The UCP has dropped to 49 per cent, while the NDP climbed to 40 per cent. The gap fell to nine points from 17. The evidence also shows that Smith’s personal approval is eroding, while Nenshi’s is climbing. These may be temporary trends. We’re still 17 month from a general election. But there’s no guesswork about what’s happening to separatism itself. #fyp #foryou

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