@ericdufault: In this video, I discuss the possibility of a recession in the US. I talk about the Polymarket odds, which suggest a 41% chance of a recession, up from 20% at the end of February. I explain what Polymarket is and how it can be used to predict major events. I also discuss the real estate market, noting that it has been in a recession for some time, with fewer transactions year over year. I advise that those waiting for the real estate market to crash may be disappointed, as I'm not sure it will happen. #recession #polymarket #realestate #housing