@deltatrendtrading: This is the most surface level explanation of this idea that I think I could possibly give, I just want to gauge if people care at all. Let me know and I can make a longer version of this as my first YouTube video. #daytrading #optionstrading #finance #money #finance #financialfreedom
I just know the ICT cultists checked out in the first 5 secs hearing the word “probabilistic”.
2025-04-11 11:24:07
52
User947272636 :
Estimating probability better than the market is not an easy thing to do
2025-04-11 14:21:18
1
Shnodell :
All I do is compare IV to realized vol. it’s a great strat.
2025-04-11 12:04:09
9
𝖘𝖆𝖎𝖓𝖙 :
What are your thoughts on orderflow
2025-04-11 05:19:49
4
18 claws :
I'm so lost😔
2025-04-11 05:54:10
39
✵ :
Wouldn’t this “overbought” and “underbought” idea work with liquidity sweeps as well since you would sell above a high and buy below a low
2025-04-11 15:14:41
1
Bubbles :
my controversial options take is it's more intuitive to think about estimated PDF at expiration than the SDE process parameters like BS.
2025-04-11 15:52:43
7
Mort Silverstien✡️ :
Ok so say with sports betting, if a book is dealing +110 and -130, theres a cut and dry formula to know that the book is implying 45.7% and 54.3% for each team. Whether the book is correct or (next)
2025-04-11 06:12:53
2
Free Rezy :
what are your thoughts on OSI by Lawrence McMillan?
2025-04-11 09:26:04
0
formula_ds :
This is the type of content I’ve been looking for. Hopefully you make a full YouTube video.
2025-04-11 11:30:21
7
Jules :
What do you think of Taleb’s critique of models like Black-Scholes-Merton and arguments pricing is a heuristic practice and people don’t actually strictly adhere to models
2025-04-12 09:06:45
1
EsaAhmed08 :
Post on yt you hit 1k subs…
2025-04-12 08:27:03
1
martinmartin :
is there Ai software that does this already?
2025-04-12 00:13:15
2
Eva Bujazha :
was just about to comment the last part. This should be "arbed" out. Maybe it's possible to do this with far less known stocks?
2025-04-11 05:53:09
6
ccc :
a payoff, a distribution, hmm this makes me remember theoretical price value analogy from option volatility pricing by sheldon natenberg
2025-04-11 05:33:12
1
Beyond :
You are taking about itm don’t make it so complicated
2025-04-12 00:57:59
0
kawak10r :
Do you model out your stocks ?
2025-04-11 12:35:41
1
yritsomp :
How do you calculate position sizing/risk per trade that will allow you to stay within your tolerable max DD? I feel like just fractional kelly would probably be way too low or way too high
2025-04-11 10:14:15
0
Nihilem. :
this dude chill tho
2025-04-12 18:51:10
1
Brinx Robin :
So what win a standard win rate look like using this? I love this type of content
2025-04-11 15:22:10
2
NotSoSubmissiveOmega :
Make a longer video on yt 🙏
2025-04-11 07:52:48
1
gbouloum :
Thanks.
2025-04-11 05:41:31
1
Tauriukas :
What do you study?
2025-06-29 16:01:25
0
ARB 🇵🇸🇮🇶 :
bro I don't know if it's just my English thats the problem, but I have literally no idea what youre talking abt
2025-04-27 06:08:12
0
Gauthyeah :
Your PDF comes from a Monte Carlo?
2025-04-11 09:42:21
0
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