@mindofjulia: What 50% Chance of Rain REALLY Means #Weather #DidYouKnow #Rain #LifeHacks #Science

Julia
Julia
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Region: FR
Monday 01 September 2025 16:15:25 GMT
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chiefbabyboy1
ChiefBabyBoy :
So… it means there’s a 50% chance of rain.
2025-09-01 21:13:36
1261
mcfappleton
FappyMcFappleton :
In other words, if it’s not a 0% or a 100% it’s worthless
2025-09-01 18:43:03
995
juhoheinola
juhoheinola :
Soo… 50% or area covered by rain still means 50% chance of rain.
2025-09-01 20:23:25
498
vladislav_kuzn
Vlad :
In the end if you combine these two factors, at any random point in the city - the chance is still 50%
2025-09-01 23:49:51
36
ukrainianusername
Дмитро Попов :
According to your statement, 20% means that there will be 100% rain in a certain area of the city. But this is not true
2025-09-02 13:16:38
1
ekkam007
Chrino :
this is so confusing why dont we just have an actual number that tells us what's the likelihood of it raining
2025-09-02 16:14:43
0
911mcnuggets
mcnuggets :
it didn’t help. I’m more confused than ever. thank you 🗿
2025-09-02 08:23:31
4
masterrico1986
Master Rico :
I don't use weather apps, I look at the clouds and use the skills humans have relied on for millenia.
2025-09-01 16:27:28
17
rav3n_pl
Bardzo Zły Moderator :
so for given point it is exactly what it is 🤣
2025-09-01 20:57:36
34
eteekstok
Eteeks🇱🇨🇬🇧 :
not the Met office in the UK. it's only the probability of rainfail, no consideration of the proportion of the area. this PoP just tries to simplify things to one number and it becomes less useful
2025-09-01 20:34:07
18
hueyhueyhueyhuey
hueyhueyhueyhuey :
Is there a way to see a split of the two percentages? Why combine such different metrics, making the number practically meaningless?
2025-09-01 21:54:31
11
robertogmaestre
Roberto Granda :
Not right, at least generally. I'm a meteorologist, and PoP should be calculated considering how many of the forecasted scenarios is showing rain. Therefore, a probabilistic forecast in regards to ensemble forecasts
2025-09-01 20:23:17
13
xx_69_user_69_xx
k :
probability of precipitation huh? you could also call it risk of rain too
2025-09-02 09:33:47
1
derowere
Derowere :
so it's even worse than I thought, we can't even know what that percentage really mean
2025-09-01 22:42:00
1
lynchdemon
Lynch Demon :
A whole degree out there to say MAYBE IT’ll rain ya know 😉
2025-09-01 19:07:07
49
curua123
curua123 🇮🇪🍉 :
How do we know how big an area they are using?
2025-09-02 06:08:49
1
lil_deniro
lil_deniro :
i wish I just didn't know and kept on thinking %50 chance of rain
2025-09-01 19:29:31
2
plokij1235
user7683042492061 :
it literally varies per weather source
2025-09-01 22:19:07
1
halfofthebanana
halv banana :
uncertainty principle? sounds familiar
2025-09-02 22:20:30
0
gestalt72723
gestalt7272 :
You coulda said 50% but you said 1 in 2
2025-09-01 19:54:30
1
delta.knight
delta.knight :
For what area extents is this applicable? Countries to districts? If the area is very small like a small town does the percentage only refer to confidence?
2025-09-01 19:35:42
1
ianlev
ian :
But I don’t understand what the forecast area is? If it’s a forecast for NYC, is the area bigger than for a random village which will be much smaller, and by virtue of its size, have a higher chance of rain?
2025-09-02 21:39:46
0
thereandbackagainn
Thereandbackagain :
Weatherapps have become more and more useless.
2025-09-02 20:23:36
0
avelar031
Avelar408 :
isn’t the percentage related to in similar conditions rained 50% of the time in the past in this area?
2025-09-02 21:00:20
0
poppi256
poppi256 :
at 50% means better roll the dice.They dont know it.
2025-09-02 17:41:57
0
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