Right. For instance, when seatbelt laws were implemented, more people ended up in the emergency room. However, some people wrongly thought the increase in ER visits to the seatbelts causing injuries, when in reality, the people were in the ER because they were not in the morgue. Same situation with motorcycle helmets.
2026-02-05 22:12:47
4491
Justin robinson :
btw that 13%/50% statistic is ARRESTS NOT CONVICTIONS. Subsequently, black people also have the highest acquittal rates too. Which means a good amount of the arrests are bad arrests.
2026-02-07 02:58:00
2045
Allison GreenThumb :
correlation ≠ causation
2026-02-06 13:13:16
3670
🌺 :
So in other words: NUANCE.
2026-02-06 23:54:22
1408
Miscellany :
Poverty is a confounding factor to crime, historical policy has aimed to impoverish minorities
2026-02-06 21:22:21
898
Kelly Taylor2231 :
Another example is cold weather makes you sick. Cold weather by itself doesn’t necessarily cause illness by itself. Being in close proximity due to the cold weather makes germs spread easier. So it’s the staying indoors that is the confounding factor.
2026-02-06 13:13:07
420
breebree617 :
Black people are more likely to be convicted, where white people are more likely to be let off with a “warning”
2026-02-07 21:34:52
303
Vvieites001 :
Sharks and ice cream sales! Both go up in the summer (summer is the confounding variable)
2026-02-06 17:32:57
488
Chris :
People who own horses live longer probably. Because the upkeep on a horse is several thousands of dollars a year, and if you have extra thousands of dollars a year, you're doing all right
2026-02-06 13:18:29
148
elvino :
They just hear the first thing and stick with it
2026-02-06 07:01:07
366
Blackbutler04 :
Or understand that correlation isn’t causation
2026-02-06 11:17:32
241
Kymori🩷 :
This was me with, “drinking wine helps you live longer”. When I actually looked into it, the group that was studied were wealthy, so a person living in a good area, probably eating healthier would live longer, but that isn’t because they drank a glass of wine every night.
2026-02-08 03:24:25
21
Ya mama’s boyfriend :
Poli sci here- confounds are actually our worst enemy bc people can’t think critically anymore. I always simplify it with ice cream. EX: ice cream causes drowning. Reality: ice cream consumption rates go up in summer. So does drowning because more people are out swimming. The weather is the actual confounding variable that connects the two.
2026-02-07 13:59:20
49
Trent :
This is why I HATE that crime stats are based around arrests and not convictions.
I've even said "What if you got arrested but didn't commit the crime? You'd now be listed in that stat even though you were innocent." and they still don't listen 😭
2026-02-08 01:44:09
66
Makotodragon84 :
great content. Also, it doesn't help that a bunch of billionaires are buying up all of our news outlets to publish whatever they want.
2026-02-06 09:18:02
49
christopherjeter :
The way I was taught about this is: Correlation DOES NOT equal Causation.
2026-02-06 11:45:29
132
AraneaeYouOk? :
I think one of my fav current examples is when conservatives say liberals/leftists are more mentally ill as if they’re not more likely to both acknowledge & seek care f that illness rather than just deny it exists
2026-02-06 18:56:53
116
capital swag fan :
People don’t understand nuance or complexities at all.
2026-02-07 04:23:06
90
Elijahbaybe :
Sidebar, the whole 13/50 statistic has been misconstrued to be convictions instead of arrests like you said. We can’t even read correctly!
2026-02-05 22:20:55
190
ju :
Another issue is that no one cares to look for primary sources anymore, they’ll just believe anything they heard someone claim it’s like a big game of telephone
2026-02-07 07:05:30
62
Simply Kev :
Man don't even get started talking about statistics because ppl almost NEVER interpret them correctly. They look at a headline, or a quick bar graph and run with it. Never actually look at the evaluate the data set
2026-02-07 02:10:02
88
Gingeritus :
So many people are incapable of asking why something is the way it is.
2026-02-08 20:43:11
9
Literally.Django :
People don’t know how to isolate variables
2026-02-06 03:34:20
155
dessdoeslife :
I second this message! It’s also very apparent that most people genuinely don’t know how to research or interpret data and results and they’re unaware that. Nor do they have access to a lot of credible academic articles due to the paywalls.
2026-02-06 12:03:33
69
BeccaLove3001 :
the school systems are designed that way 😬 people can't conceptualize something that's right in front of their face unless they're told us in front of their face
2026-02-06 20:09:36
29
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