@alexisanddean: How reliable are prediction markets? #kalshi #predictionmarkets #futurestrading #election #prediction

Alexis and Dean
Alexis and Dean
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Region: US
Saturday 21 February 2026 19:53:20 GMT
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kabokablemolefe
Kabo Kable Molefe :
I created a polymarket project that checks what the top wallets are deciding for a specific market, the profit and loss of the entire wallet over time plus the general consensus on the outcome of the market. then it gives a Yes, No or stay our recommendation. Has been accurate about 90% of the time.
2026-02-22 10:07:43
6
ethan.might.go.gym
I Might Go to the Gym :
F Kalshi, I successfully predicted that Iran’s supreme would be out and he was killed in the recent conflict meaning he is out as supreme leader and they didn’t pay me out
2026-03-01 18:33:00
62
mrglass1771
M :
Add to this the fact that almost certainly there are insiders who are trading on there & directing their money towards where they know its going.
2026-02-21 20:51:02
78
outwithnaturepnw
OutwithnaturePNW :
Should I pay off my car first or credit card debt?
2026-02-22 02:39:26
20
jerocont0
Jeronimo Contreras :
Is this a kalshi ad
2026-02-22 20:04:37
15
libralinda4
Libralinda :
It was not a "landslide" for Trump. He won by one or two points.
2026-02-21 21:32:04
21
pretty_muscles
Pretty Muscles :
Dressed for work in the home office - chef’s kiss!
2026-02-22 07:39:52
10
wors72
\/\/○RS ''( ° )^( ° )" :
Ask Dean what he thinks about XRP
2026-02-22 15:57:12
1
rogerwalters133
Roger Walters133 :
my 401k is producing at a 1.74% for the last 3mos. prior to that it was 9%. should I move it into something else?
2026-02-21 22:46:30
7
jason_event_horizon
Jason Event Horizon :
The people who are educated and actually follow politics, finance, etc can easily put money on a lot of these “bets” I’ve made good money off Kalshi and have only lost like 2 or 3 times. Those, were on sports. I have picked politics 100% on Kalshi.
2026-02-22 10:32:46
13
blindcheck91
RGF :
Also, if someone was manipulating the election, it wouldn’t be surprising if they were trying to make a little bit of money on it too
2026-02-22 11:34:21
2
js623
Bond Villain without Bond :
Elon used software hacks to hack the elections
2026-02-23 19:09:20
1
3mmmfranklin
3m :
Gambling 🎰
2026-02-21 19:56:10
31
janerikjakstein
Jan Erik Jakstein :
undisclosed ads are illegal, FDC call incoming
2026-02-24 02:12:32
4
saulogrady
Saul O'Grady :
Not so sure — I suspect bettors on prediction markets lean right
2026-02-21 23:48:35
3
willthis
CitizenTrain :
Monetized insider trading.
2026-02-22 18:01:32
5
gina.homefiresburning
homefiresburning :
maim stream media is propaganda
2026-02-22 16:23:17
4
gsabpaso
gsabpaso :
good point
2026-02-22 09:04:31
2
thedaringcreatives
thedaringcreatives :
I feel like these need to be labeled Kalshi ads guys.
2026-02-21 21:59:40
18
mizterprofesional
MrNiceGuy :
Yes Dean if using the options market is the standard for finding out if a stock is a good or bad investment what is the criteria to make that decision?
2026-02-22 00:50:43
2
mommatried8675309
burtmacklin308 :
But not in a timely manner
2026-02-21 20:53:33
2
rogerhawaii
RogerHawaii :
How do you do with the options market to predict for the prediction on the stock market.. Thank you
2026-02-22 03:46:21
1
leevalueroach
LeeValueRoach :
Predictions can be surprisingly accurate, but it's best to make investments based on fortune telling.
2026-02-22 21:08:48
1
hendryvet
Ross Hendry :
Clock 🕰️
2026-04-11 18:05:55
0
mszaannii
mszaannii :
Happy Lunar New Year!
2026-02-22 00:22:04
0
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