@ayaannura4:

Ayan saleban❤️

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Wednesday 25 March 2026 21:01:29 GMT

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Mean Defy :

jogota Adi Mogdesh❓🙏

2026-03-27 19:02:30

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Jamal ali :

Qoftan horta wadanke bayku nooshahy cajiib

2026-03-26 00:28:05

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Boodhariga Qarniga :

m.a waxad tahay dhamaystiran hanti laga baxshaye hooy lala galaaye Alle haka hayo isha xaasidke

2026-03-26 07:07:52

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abdinur kolumba :

🥰🥰🥰👌👌👌

2026-04-21 17:45:39

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zulDan mohamet amiin :

🥰🥰🥰

2026-03-31 07:16:03

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isra gobaad :

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2026-03-31 05:18:14

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Enzorisca :

🥰🥰

2026-03-28 18:52:26

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Madax dhagax 1884 saylec ingir :

👍

2026-03-27 23:36:44

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Madax dhagax 1884 saylec ingir :

🥰

2026-03-27 23:36:45

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ugaaz Axmed john :

❤️❤️❤️

2026-03-26 19:38:57

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xaajiga ayn :

💯💯💯

2026-03-26 17:15:34

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Tollman :

👑

2026-03-26 07:27:10

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abdinur kolumba :

🥰🥰🥰

2026-04-21 17:45:35

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user4900426617088 :

🌹🌹🌹

2026-06-02 15:33:17

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Abdi Xakiim :

❤️❤️❤️

2026-06-11 22:18:24

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حبيبي مالقيت لشمس بعدك في لقاك ظلال .

حبيبي مالقيت لشمس بعدك في لقاك ظلال .

#inspirationtiktok #pourtoii #viraltiktok #visibilitésurtiktok❤️✨🙏dieu

#inspirationtiktok #pourtoii #viraltiktok #visibilitésurtiktok❤️✨🙏dieu

#dhageyso👂😢 #scw #scw #foryoupage

#dhageyso👂😢 #scw #scw #foryoupage

Here's a finding about human judgment that should make you uncomfortable: More information increases your confidence — without increasing your accuracy. In a 1974 study, Paul Slovic gave eight expert horse handicappers 5, then 10, then 20, then 40 variables per horse and asked them to predict outcomes. Their accuracy didn't improve. Three actually got worse. But their confidence climbed with every variable added. At five variables, confidence roughly matched accuracy. At forty, they were wildly overconfident — and no more correct. This is now CIA training material, because it explains one of the great intelligence failures in modern history. Before the 2003 Iraq War, the community had enormous data and enormous confidence. The accuracy was catastrophically wrong. The problem wasn't too little information. It was a flawed model that more data kept reinforcing instead of correcting. So before you gather more, ask: do I already have enough to make a reasonable judgment? If yes, more won't make you more accurate. It'll just make you more certain you're right — which is the most dangerous place to be. #DecisionMaking #CognitiveBias #MentalModels #BehavioralEconomics #BehavioralScience

Here's a finding about human judgment that should make you uncomfortable: More information increases your confidence — without increasing your accuracy. In a 1974 study, Paul Slovic gave eight expert horse handicappers 5, then 10, then 20, then 40 variables per horse and asked them to predict outcomes. Their accuracy didn't improve. Three actually got worse. But their confidence climbed with every variable added. At five variables, confidence roughly matched accuracy. At forty, they were wildly overconfident — and no more correct. This is now CIA training material, because it explains one of the great intelligence failures in modern history. Before the 2003 Iraq War, the community had enormous data and enormous confidence. The accuracy was catastrophically wrong. The problem wasn't too little information. It was a flawed model that more data kept reinforcing instead of correcting. So before you gather more, ask: do I already have enough to make a reasonable judgment? If yes, more won't make you more accurate. It'll just make you more certain you're right — which is the most dangerous place to be. #DecisionMaking #CognitiveBias #MentalModels #BehavioralEconomics #BehavioralScience

#اغاني_عربيه #اغاني_حب #رامي_صبري #fyp

#اغاني_عربيه #اغاني_حب #رامي_صبري #fyp

😔🤍 . . . #علي_بن_ابي_طالب #الامام_علي_بن_أبي_طالب_؏💙🔥 #طششونيي🔫🥺😹💞 #الصينين_مالهم_حل😂😂

😔🤍 . . . #علي_بن_ابي_طالب #الامام_علي_بن_أبي_طالب_؏💙🔥 #طششونيي🔫🥺😹💞 #الصينين_مالهم_حل😂😂

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