@philosophyminis: The problem of induction is one of the great unsolved problems in philosophy. It's about truth, knowledge, and the scientific method. And it's a problem because it says that we can never really know that the sun will rise tomorrow. The problem goes back to David Hume, who says that no matter how many times a thing has happened in the past, there is no guarantee it will continue to do so. No matter how many times you observe something by experiment, you can never be 100% certain that it will happen again. Here are three examples: Let's say that every swan you have ever seen is white. Can you say that all swans are white? Or just because the sun has risen every day up till now, does that mean it will rise tomorrow? Or, imagine that you are a turkey, and every day the farmer comes to give you your food in the morning. But this day, on Christmas Day, he comes with an axe. Hume's problem of induction says that there is no reasonable or provable way that the future will necessarily resemble the past. And this is a problem for verificationism in science, because it essentially says that no amount of experiment and observation can guarantee any general rules with any certainty. Just because something has always happened doesn't necessarily mean it will continue to do so. There can always be a change. So, what do you think? Do you know that the sun will rise tomorrow? Or does Hume have a point?

Jonny Thomson
Jonny Thomson
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Tuesday 07 April 2026 14:16:42 GMT
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shaaz.89
Shaaz :
I don’t see this as a problem though. We don’t need “100% certainty” that the sun will rise tomorrow. The likelihood is still very high; so high that it’s not even worth preparing for an alternative outcome. So for all practical purposes it may as well be certain.
2026-04-08 03:14:06
117
fineboybrownn
brown :
The best Account i follow on this app
2026-04-07 14:23:29
125
punch_the_clock
punch_the_clock :
It depends on scale; big things are just made up of smaller things and continue on. The more you can actually see, and verify on the smallest scales, then you do know as much as we can. Seeing as we can actually observe atoms and sub atomic particles, we can definitively say with high confidence that big things will actually occur. Change itself is just flux between states of physical matter
2026-06-04 20:20:29
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marchofford2
Markymarc :
But gravity works every time I’m on earth.
2026-05-02 19:44:11
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queenpin_africa
Mary Joyce Takali :
Hume has a point
2026-04-15 10:38:37
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ksenia.scientia
Ksenia.scientia :
In the history and philosophy of science, falsifiability - a concept proposed by Karl Popper to address the shortcomings of induction method, has substantial support. It is also commonly used to demarcate science from non-science. Essentially, theories should be testable and capable of being refuted in order to be considered credible. Hence Popper’s passionate critique of psychoanalysis: no matter the outcome of a psychoanalytic test, it can always be interpreted as correct.
2026-04-07 20:16:10
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angusmac67
Angus :
I think most of philosophy is a category error in language. I never hear of eastern philosophy dealing with the same issues as western philosophy.
2026-04-09 07:35:09
0
farinx15
Farinx :
Well… He has a point, however pascal argument on probabilities says that the multiple variables and occurrences can be used to predict almost certain outcomes, like if the sun has risen for 300 days consecutively we can be almost know for clcertain the sun will rise on day 301, what do you think??
2026-04-07 22:18:28
1
cjp42
Christopher :
Absolutely love the problem of induction and a lot of people here in the comments are making a mistake. As the problem of induction doesn't just show you can't know something with 100% certainty. But specifically you can't know anything at all, even 1% certainty isn't possible.
2026-04-12 23:31:14
1
helpplzimded
Elitruck :
And that, I feel, is what makes science do beautiful. that every observation could be disproven inspires rigorous experimentation and openness to other opinions.
2026-04-07 14:23:42
15
abityyyyyyy
Abity :
I don't think the uncertainty arises from doubting our belief that whether or not 'the sun, for example, will rise tomorrow' is a 100% factual statement but forgetting a cycle of any sort, in this case the sun's cycle, will, some day, be encountered with a mathematically probability of expiration. That is because any cycle has an expiration date when a physical or chemical change occurs to the object( definitely not an eternal state) thereby changing the degree of certainty if a specific cycle will repeat itself again.
2026-04-14 01:44:23
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massagemiki
Miki🇿🇦 :
Hence why we predict not promise. Best predictor of future is relevant past. But agreed, no guarantees. Not with 100% certainty anyway
2026-04-07 15:40:44
3
cedrique474
Cedrique :
1+5=6 will always be true.
2026-04-07 23:36:24
0
ighostedd
iGhostEdd :
I'll let you know in the morning🥱
2026-04-07 22:17:39
3
jefferymichael7
jlmichael :
if it doesn't rise we'll all be toast
2026-04-07 16:15:28
10
thrilla05
thrilla :
induction in math is different requiring only that we have a mapping between the natural numbers or that the statement we are trying to show holds for any given case or that the truth of a case necessarily leads to the truth of a successor case where we've already shown a specific case to be true
2026-04-10 11:38:14
1
sundayschooldropout3
Vinny :
We do know it will rise. We are just not certain. Hume’s problem is a certainty problem not a knowledge problem. Certainty is not a good standard for knowledge
2026-04-08 14:57:17
7
tobyapples
tobyapples :
Which tomorrow? Eventually there will be a tomorrow when the sun doesn't rise.
2026-04-26 12:56:43
1
ra_repertoire
ra_repertoire :
it will. until it doesn't. but i would be there for it. so it will
2026-04-11 03:19:15
1
pawelkrol666
Gruby :
If we couldn’t really know, we wouldn’t have laws of nature. And those have never been violated. 😎
2026-04-09 09:14:29
1
stoopyronyn
ronyn :
will i rise tomorrow from bed? 😴
2026-04-07 14:21:29
1
antoinelamar69
Modern Stoic :
99.9999 percent certainty is enough to create our technology. Its never 100 percent
2026-04-07 18:42:51
1
sinethembachiya
sinethemba chiya :
I am willing to bet that it will rise tomorrow. Are you willing to bet it won't?
2026-05-05 20:43:46
0
denials97
Denials :
We need not mix categories of examples nor skip defining terms
2026-05-05 15:38:39
0
bazzamackenzie
BazzaMacKenzie :
But Hume is silly.
2026-05-23 14:58:50
0
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