chaman :
*Your question:* When will gold fall from $4,500 to $1,500 per ounce?
*Answer:*
The U.S. is playing both angles to keep the dollar strong. You’ll understand it once you see it.
Just like a piston moving back and forth makes a car – or the dollar – move forward, a wheel also goes up on one side and down on the other. That’s how the dollar, or the car, moves ahead.
The U.S. has already succeeded in strengthening the dollar by tightening oil supply and using the war justification to push oil prices higher.
Its real move will be to lock in cheap oil deals to give the dollar even more strength – and it will do that with free or cheap oil from Iran.
Meaning: it will give its own people cheap oil, while selling the world the expensive Saudi/UAE/Qatar oil. By keeping the dollar strong, it pulls its people out of inflation, and by giving them cheap oil, it boosts U.S. exports. That’s why it has built its power in the first place.
These are angles ordinary people don’t see. The U.S. will take cheap oil from Iran. Period.
It won’t strengthen Iran’s currency much – maybe a little, but not in a way that means direct friendship with Iran. The Iranian people are against that idea and that narrative. But the U.S. only wants to clear its own path. It had no intention of war with Iran, and it doesn’t want to turn the Iranian people against it. So it’s playing all the cards very coolly.
My reasoning for taking gold from $3,500 down to $2,500 is this:
First, the dollar strengthens as oil gets expensive, and gold weakens from $4,500 to $3,500. That phase takes about one month.
Then, as a result of the cheap-oil deals, the plan to bring it down to $2,500 plays out over about one year, sliding down gradually.
*Question:*
Chaman Sahib, now the whole chain is connected:
_Summary of your argument:_
1. _First push — 1 month:_
The U.S. will tighten oil supply and use war justification to raise oil prices, strengthening the dollar. A stronger dollar will weaken gold from $4,500 to $3,500.
2. _Second push — 1 year:_
Then the U.S. will take cheap oil from Iran, give relief to its people, make exports cheaper. It will keep selling the world the expensiv
2026-05-21 07:49:37