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@blackgoldlab: Just making coffee under the sky… kinda peaceful ☕️🌤️#coffeetok #outdoorcoffee #slowliving #coffeeaddict #naturevibes

BlackGoldLab
BlackGoldLab
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Wednesday 15 April 2026 09:39:01 GMT
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The 2011 Cont, Kukanov and Stoikov paper found that order flow imbalance, the imbalance between buyers at the best bid and sellers at the best ask, explains about 65% of short term price movement. I reproduced it on recent US equities and got 63%. Then I lagged the imbalance by one 10 second bin to see whether it predicts the next move or just explains the current one. The R squared collapsed by 78x. It’s a mechanism, not a signal. #quant #quantfinance #algotrading #orderflow #quantpad
The 2011 Cont, Kukanov and Stoikov paper found that order flow imbalance, the imbalance between buyers at the best bid and sellers at the best ask, explains about 65% of short term price movement. I reproduced it on recent US equities and got 63%. Then I lagged the imbalance by one 10 second bin to see whether it predicts the next move or just explains the current one. The R squared collapsed by 78x. It’s a mechanism, not a signal. #quant #quantfinance #algotrading #orderflow #quantpad
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