@middleeasteye: Andreas Krieg, an associate professor at King’s College London, says that the war Donald Trump and Israel waged against Iran has shattered the Gulf monarchies’ central security assumption, that the United States would keep them safe. Krieg says that American bases across the Gulf did not shield regional states from a war they never chose. Instead, they made them targets. Iran could not easily reach Tel Aviv or Washington, so it struck softer targets within range, and the Gulf absorbed the blows. The protector had become “the source of the threat”. He says Trump proved he could start a war, but not end one. His impatience and shifting between the Israel lobby and the Gulf lobby left him unable to deliver the patient bargaining needed for a settlement. Once again, the Gulf was left to repair what others had broken. Krieg says that the crisis forced Gulf states to act for themselves. Qatar became a key diplomatic hinge between Washington and Tehran, while Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Pakistan and Oman helped keep diplomacy alive. Even the UAE’s late turn towards pragmatism meant the Gulf’s major powers were no longer running rival foreign policies. For Krieg, the lesson is that the Gulf is one security system. Its economies, waterways and people are too closely connected for one state to remain safe while another burns. Deterrence alone will not work with Iran, he argues. It must be paired with engagement, trade and interdependence. He concludes that the Gulf can either continue waiting for Washington, Tehran and Tel Aviv to decide its fate, or act collectively to shape the regional order around it.

dilshodkhatamov6 :

This is spot on journalism

GymnasticsLa :

This reporter is fantastic

Odyssey :

sanctions insulated Iran's economy that's why Iran can wage war without much domestic pressure

speedar24 :

Beautiful presentation, straight to the point

Mohamed Hassan :

Is it correct to say that Iran targeted the Gulf when in reality Iran targeted American military bases?

Saint_Ossie_09 :

Best coherent analysis I have heard. Very well crafted journalism

KnightKing :

this is a brilliant report.

Maximus79 :

brilliant analysis 👌

Authentiic :

What a fantastic piece delivered superbly 👏

Stephen :

your editorials(ME) are a classic🔥

Nana Dee 🇬🇭 :

Wow, great delivery 👏

Grandma73 :

Brilliant! Thank you!

Yoshelubia :

This is Journalism at its best🙏

user3426067923081 :

Excellent analysis.

Sarah :

Thank you for sharing this brilliant information much appreciated

Hero Of Bukit Padang :

Them arab kings feared Iran bcuz it's the only one that overthrow their own monarchy 👊👊

really :

Well detailed 👌

Ijeoma :

Excellent analysis!

dawaj🇨🇦 :

very organized and well spoken overview of the situation 👏

Islandgltch :

I'm amazed by this. What an insightfull and intelligent take.

Tracey :

Is there a transcript of this online please?

Meshach McGowan :

Abwin Labs :

informative and analytical

Jonesy :

This is a fantastic piece of journalism

SwaburDaMwalim :

thanks