@sarahthephysicicist: #stitch with @Brian K. Conclusion: the statistically optimal Jeff Goldblumle strategy is always to start with Jeff Goldblum, no matter the previous results (i am a very serious scientist)

C T672 :

They’re almost certainly not iid, for things like this. Gambler’s fallacy is great for random variables that are very well engineered (unbiased) physics objects. But these days we live in the algorithm.

Vegan bleats :

If u flip 5 heads in a row how many more coins do you need to flip before the distribution of results returns to 50/50

john_is_renewed :

what’s the opposite example from an independent event like the coin? would it be drawing from a 52 card poker deck that doesn’t get reshuffled between draws? because past draws from the deck do effect outcomes of future draws (until the next time you shuffle). If you haven’t seen the queen of hearts after 40 draws, she is getting more probable. And once you draw her, the probability of getting her again is zero.

Nye :

Thank you Sara the phycicicicist

Umαr :

The WHO fallacy?

Yanni :