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Region: US
Monday 22 June 2026 15:42:02 GMT
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Box and Scribble :
Nah it’s 50% either you have it or you don’t
2026-06-22 15:47:25
4899
nobody :
just take it twice
2026-06-22 17:33:21
883
mikecarrr :
Accuracy rate isnt a good metric for tests for rare diseases, a much better metric is sensitivity. Sensitivity is the measure of positive result accuracy. Which in this case is .0033%. This test would be more of a screening for a more expensive test than an actual conclusive result.
2026-06-25 19:26:42
2
bluewhitebrosVT :
there's an issue with the original premise though, as 97% accuracy doesn't necessarily tell you if it's about false positives or false negatives
2026-06-24 20:29:26
412
Falits234 :
The flaw in this logic is that you are assuming that you are testing at random and not testing people who have signs that they have it
2026-06-25 12:49:52
10
Robi :
But what about ones who are false negative?
2026-06-25 16:39:32
6
jack.cathers :
with my luck i’m cooked
2026-06-22 15:46:01
114
not_bogos :
i agree, its not intuitive, but the explanation is still simple. the disease is simply so rare, that a false positive on a farely accurate test for the disease is more likely than actually having the disease
2026-06-22 18:15:14
161
נהוראי🥷 :
It’s always 50% in reality tho
2026-06-22 16:55:27
45
Kub.309✝️ :
Just do it three times or more
2026-06-23 05:52:42
46
Mommy :
the Dragonvale shirt oh my god i forgot about that😭😭😭😭
2026-06-24 23:15:05
0
tuff labubu 67 :
stage 1. denial
2026-06-25 14:42:12
3
Andre St :
they probably tested you because you showed symptoms. your chance of false positive is 3%
2026-06-23 19:28:47
17
yousef :
what if the test also gives false negatives?
2026-06-22 16:29:50
432
Mr :
Broooooo, I loved that dragon game as a kid
2026-06-22 23:19:49
2
shantev7 :
Tik tok math
2026-06-25 16:39:29
2
TheCivilisedOrc :
Btd6 on the background
2026-06-25 12:59:26
2
Daniel🏂 :
why is bro playing stump on hard mode
2026-06-23 14:56:24
26
Biffi :
the problem is: statistics don't matter for a single person. it doesn't help the one infected that his chances of actually having the disease were slim.
2026-06-22 16:30:52
10
berynal04 :
You forgot one important aspect: if you are tested for that disease, there is already reasonable suspicion you could have it, which raises the chances you actually have it on a positive result immensly.
2026-06-23 03:30:17
5
max.sigmason :
They only test people with symptoms
2026-06-22 18:19:10
5
W1nter :
You're kinda ignoring the possibility of false negatives here in a "realistic" scenario.
2026-06-24 22:54:09
24
Affe :
Yeah but if you show symptoms of the disease the chances would go up no?
2026-06-24 21:56:09
10
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