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Monday 06 July 2026 15:29:55 GMT
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Alberta Separatists Poll shows separatist support is falling fast as reality sets in and vote approaches The separatist project is finally crashing into the real world The separatist surge in Alberta is starting to wane. An Ipsos poll, done for Global News, finds support for leaving Canada has dropped from 28 per cent to 18 per cent. The plunge has occurred since the last poll in January. This is welcome but not surprising. The separatist project is finally crashing into the real world — the enormous cost of leaving, national, Indigenous and local opposition, and Premier Danielle Smith emerging from a cloud of ambiguity to argue unequivocally for Canada. The leak of personal election data of nearly three million Alberta voters may be hurting the separatist cause, as well. It’s finally clear that some of the leaders don’t just say crazy things, they do crazy things. Alberta separatists have a huge hill to climb if they want to get majority support in the October Alberta referendum,” Ipsos says. “Currently, only two in 10 (19 per cent) say they would vote for the option to hold a future binding referendum on separation.” If the actual vote to separate ever came to pass, 18 per cent would support it. Interestingly, the lowest support for moving to a referendum vote is in Calgary, at 14 per cent. Calgary is a town of economic realists. Anything that threatens to hurt the economy is never a vote-winner. Separatist support in Edmonton is slightly higher, at 18 per cent, and highest in the rest of Alberta at 27 per cent. The separatist backing drops further in the big cities when the question is about actual separation, not this October pre-vote. We know that there’s an ugly rural-urban divide in this province. But even so, rural separatism is miles from a majority. Now, here’s one that is a shocker. We constantly hear that polls show separatism is endorsed by about 60 per cent of people who support the UCP. But the Ipsos poll shows that 50 per cent of those people would vote to stay in Canada, versus 41 per cent who would leave. In other words, federalist support among UCP backers is a majority at the decision point where it really matters. There’s a big difference, it seems, between expressing general support for separatism and voting to make it happen. (The only surprising thing about NDP supporters is that four per cent would vote to separate.) #fyp #foryou
Alberta Separatists Poll shows separatist support is falling fast as reality sets in and vote approaches The separatist project is finally crashing into the real world The separatist surge in Alberta is starting to wane. An Ipsos poll, done for Global News, finds support for leaving Canada has dropped from 28 per cent to 18 per cent. The plunge has occurred since the last poll in January. This is welcome but not surprising. The separatist project is finally crashing into the real world — the enormous cost of leaving, national, Indigenous and local opposition, and Premier Danielle Smith emerging from a cloud of ambiguity to argue unequivocally for Canada. The leak of personal election data of nearly three million Alberta voters may be hurting the separatist cause, as well. It’s finally clear that some of the leaders don’t just say crazy things, they do crazy things. Alberta separatists have a huge hill to climb if they want to get majority support in the October Alberta referendum,” Ipsos says. “Currently, only two in 10 (19 per cent) say they would vote for the option to hold a future binding referendum on separation.” If the actual vote to separate ever came to pass, 18 per cent would support it. Interestingly, the lowest support for moving to a referendum vote is in Calgary, at 14 per cent. Calgary is a town of economic realists. Anything that threatens to hurt the economy is never a vote-winner. Separatist support in Edmonton is slightly higher, at 18 per cent, and highest in the rest of Alberta at 27 per cent. The separatist backing drops further in the big cities when the question is about actual separation, not this October pre-vote. We know that there’s an ugly rural-urban divide in this province. But even so, rural separatism is miles from a majority. Now, here’s one that is a shocker. We constantly hear that polls show separatism is endorsed by about 60 per cent of people who support the UCP. But the Ipsos poll shows that 50 per cent of those people would vote to stay in Canada, versus 41 per cent who would leave. In other words, federalist support among UCP backers is a majority at the decision point where it really matters. There’s a big difference, it seems, between expressing general support for separatism and voting to make it happen. (The only surprising thing about NDP supporters is that four per cent would vote to separate.) #fyp #foryou

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