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@.xx.loli: #لولي🤍♾️🦢

﮼لولي 👸🏻❣️
﮼لولي 👸🏻❣️
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Region: TR
Wednesday 08 July 2026 12:45:31 GMT
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alfesal2030
عبود الشمري :
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2026-07-08 17:33:30
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Would this cause 30-50% this year? Possible, but that'd likely need multiple triggers at once: BOJ going faster than expected + US recession + credit event. Carry trade unwind alone usually causes sharp 5-15% corrections, not full bear markets. 1987, 1998 LTCM, and Aug 2024 were all carry-related shocks, but the 30%+ drops came when other dominoes fell too. I’m watching USD/JPY and Japanese 10Y yields closely. If USD/JPY breaks below 140 and stays there, the unwind pressure ramps up fast Bank of Japan. What's your take — do you think the BOJ rips the bandaid off in Q3/Q4, or keeps slow-walking it? #macro #carrytrade #yen #economy #investing
Would this cause 30-50% this year? Possible, but that'd likely need multiple triggers at once: BOJ going faster than expected + US recession + credit event. Carry trade unwind alone usually causes sharp 5-15% corrections, not full bear markets. 1987, 1998 LTCM, and Aug 2024 were all carry-related shocks, but the 30%+ drops came when other dominoes fell too. I’m watching USD/JPY and Japanese 10Y yields closely. If USD/JPY breaks below 140 and stays there, the unwind pressure ramps up fast Bank of Japan. What's your take — do you think the BOJ rips the bandaid off in Q3/Q4, or keeps slow-walking it? #macro #carrytrade #yen #economy #investing

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