that.intel.guy
Region: US
Thursday 09 July 2026 04:14:23 GMT
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Akhyang (๑•؎ •๑)✧🍳 :
some of the leadership in Iran wants a ceasefire and some doesn't want a ceasefire. No one in Iran has the total control of their own military. 🤷🏻♂️
2026-07-09 04:43:23
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Joe :
Yea, both sides kept their finger on the trigger during the ceasefire. I would think that was standard practice, Hegseth even said as much at the beginning of it. Iran has repetitively come to an agreement with America and then either tried to skew the terms into their favor or slowly bleed America's position. It's like their main goal is to prove their enemy is delusional, even to the point of sustaining military and economic losses to do so. Iran has no hope. Their electrical infrastructure was inadequate before the war, the IRGC prioritize their use of it over civilian use, and with damage the LNG infrastructure through strikes, this creates further deficit in electricity supply. Some estimates are at 13.5MW deficit, with a particularly hot summer this season due to an El Nino weather pattern, they are going to have about 80% of what they need. And that's enough create water shortages, desalination plants and pumps will fall short of demand, not only for human consumption, but agricultural use as well, a food security issue. I calculated Iran's capitulation at the onset of the blockade to be about mid June. Now I'm picking maybe up to 60 days for the infrastructure cascade, and another 60 days or so after that before inflation destroys the state's ability to pay their militia to suppress the population. But there's a few more wild cards this time, NATO and the rest of the world are in a more favorable position with America, and with the IRGC losing their monopoly on violence within Iran other militias are becoming more active. Gulf States are condemning Iran, but stopping short of kinetic engagement due to threat of further damage to their energy infrastructure. Should Iran target that infrastructure regardless, or their capability to do so diminishes to near zero, the gulf states may take a more aggressive position. Most of the world is now looking for an opportunity to end this, whereas until the ceasefire they were belatedly trying to prevent this. Despite popular opinion I find CENTCOM narration accurate in regard to posture and intention, they are not being dictated to.
2026-07-09 07:54:56
13
Dale Price :
It's interesting to me that when we strike Iran, the attack their neighbors and not us directly.
2026-07-09 13:34:32
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bronndog :
Does the US trade much w/ spain?
2026-07-09 10:25:49
0
David :
i love you
2026-07-09 04:22:10
4
NenadS8 :
U.S. embargo on Spain would cause severe economic self-harm to the United States, disrupt major American industries, and trigger a broader conflict with Europe.
2026-07-09 11:05:44
0
JoePolyglot :
It’s world war tree fiddy. As in gas prices will be back at 3.50 lol 😆
2026-07-09 06:26:12
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JT :
Could you update us on China and the rumors of invading Taiwan?
2026-07-10 02:05:12
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shahamhai :
if he is only temporarily stopping the ceasefire. I think we should call it ceaseceasefire.
2026-07-09 10:08:40
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Bry :
Always on top of things.
2026-07-09 12:24:35
1
CK :
Looks like the destroyed the Aq Tekeh Khan railway bridge…can you please discuss the implications?
2026-07-09 16:17:09
0
Me :
You think we gave Ukraine approval for the Patriot missile system because they are developing their own system the FP-7 and the US is worried theirs might be better and cheaper and the US doesn’t want to lose out to the competition?
2026-07-09 15:07:12
0
mikeo_mikeo :
Are we in World War III? Is it really [email protected]
2026-07-09 10:40:12
0
Shay :
💯💯💯
2026-07-09 08:41:21
1
Florentina Ala :
What about the new threats from russia against attacking nato?
2026-07-09 15:40:08
1
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