@zinscapital: If you think markets can be reduced to a statistical model you have already lost.

zinscapital
zinscapital
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Sunday 12 July 2026 11:24:18 GMT
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amtiskey
AMTiskey404 :
Facts only arbitrage based model can be stationary and they decay fast that’s why most so called big quant firm just stick to MM because of infrastructure advantage. If we are talking about directional then you gonna need to have a lot of experience and understanding of fundamentals and macro which helps you have conviction and understand time in the market to deploy your framework or whatever.
2026-07-13 11:31:44
17
neomurabit
Neomurabit :
cmon man. mankind is diverse with so many approaches...everytime someone says it cant be done someone else is doing it
2026-07-15 00:57:48
2
trentline5
TrentLine :
Facts you need macro understanding to a deep level
2026-07-12 13:33:59
14
_itz_vincee
vince xîî :
then why is Jim Simons the best in the game
2026-07-15 09:40:59
2
quantprotos
Protos :
We can modelize live macro easily but I got your point
2026-07-12 19:38:28
2
jrijemen
jrijemen :
Cope
2026-07-13 18:59:16
0
quantphil
QuantPhil :
markets aren’t stationary is generally true, but there are patterns that are stationary. We model the past historical data because that’s all we have, and we are justified so because of autocorrelation. what you say is right. that’s why we don’t use gaussian distribution for our models
2026-07-14 00:20:26
0
tee_finance
tee_finance :
So what do u think of Quant trading?
2026-07-13 19:07:45
1
peejayal793
Thomas Mathole :
knowing macroeconomics whithout the skill of TA is BS u have to read macr to know types of trends your strategy going to performs well on
2026-07-13 12:38:47
0
gillchen09
gillchen :
But doesnt that mean that you don’t have a set strategy? How can you know that it works, when you didn‘t test it?
2026-07-12 11:37:50
0
roofozo10
nerenZoto :
Bro can you talk about trump on trying to control Hormuz and 20% tax on protection whatever. I don’t understand how is that possible.
2026-07-14 03:49:07
0
alithia00
Alithia :
There are non stationary statistical models
2026-07-13 07:05:58
1
value.lens
ValueLens :
2026-07-13 20:02:15
0
bojjalouis
Bojja :
Stationary
2026-07-15 23:50:47
0
monsieur_goose_
goose :
sigh...
2026-07-13 19:57:37
0
rocketmantwentyone
rocketmantwentyone :
Stochastic Calculus 😌
2026-07-12 23:47:40
0
thanos8661
Thanos :
No
2026-07-20 21:26:58
0
username12933829.com
Michael :
Every quant knows that statistical models don’t 100% solve a market , not a single one expects a 100% win rate, quants just try to create the best edge with statistics, and it’s proven that quant firms/hedge funds are by far the most profitable and by far the most stable
2026-07-14 15:14:18
1
valuetechinvestor
valuetechinvestor :
So, Jim Simons should have thrown his models in the bin and listen to you
2026-07-12 11:40:01
4
millionaires_district
Millionaire's District :
Yes this is the problem with the quant hype, so many systemic quant traders coming out and saying discretionary edge doesn't even Exist and it baffles me everytime I hear it, these guys make sophisticated Maths model and think it will beat the market but it just turns out to be a overfitting mess. But yeah systemic models are good for large datasets but it's not the only way to have a edge.
2026-07-12 11:30:24
3
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Eric Richins' family hired Todd Gabler, a longtime private investigator in Utah, after Richins died of a fentanyl overdose on March 4, 2022, at the home he shared in Kamas, Utah, with his wife and three children. Gabler identified Eric's wife, Kouri Darden Richins, as a suspect in his murder, and his investigation sent troves of information to the Summit County Sheriff's Office. Kouri is now on trial for murder, and Gabler testified on Monday (March 9, day 10) about his work, including a phone conversation he had with her (you can watch a clip of that testimony here @Meghann Cuniff). Kouri's lawyer Kathy Nester cross-examined Gabler, and questioned him about his cooperation with law enforcement to try to further the defense narrative that Richins' family unduly influenced the criminal investigation. Gabler said he "was following the instructions of my client to turn over anything I thought was relevant to the criminal investigation." "This is not my case. My case is in the civil court. Anything that we thought was of value to the criminal case, we turned it over," he testified. "And the police were happy with that?" Nester asked. "I don't know if they were happy or sad or distraught. I have no idea as to their emotional condition," Gabler answered. "They sure never told you to stop," Nester said. "The police never directed me to do anything, and if they had told me to stop, I would have ignored them," Gabler said. "Okay, so you could go in without a warrant, find something, call them, tell them to get a warrant, and they'd come get it?" Nester asked. "I think that's an oversimplification and a vilification. I had permission to enter those premises. I had every right to be there. I didn't need a warrant. I'm not a state actor. I have the permission of the property owner, so I don't agree with your characterization," Gabler answered. "When the cops would show up, did you point out what you were showing them. Were you usually there?" Nester asked. "No. I was there on one occasion when the police showed up. They executed warrants when I was not there. So I only remember one occasion where I found an audio recorder in a dresser drawer that they then recovered by warrant," Gabler answered. "And you waited around and pointed it out to them," Nester said. "I did. .. I never touched the device. ... I don't know if I pointed it out. I think what I did was, on that date, when I saw the recorder and recognized it for what it was, which is not easy, ...I just immediately withdrew. I left my audio recorder going until the police arrived," Gabler said. "I don't recall pointing it out. I recall describing to them where it was." "Okay. Thank you for that clarification," Nester said. You can watch Gabler testify about Kouri's texts with housekeeper Carmen Lauber piquing his interest here @Meghann Cuniff. #law #crime #court #police

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