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2026-07-22 02:50:50
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🚨 WEATHER ON DA FLY: SEVERE WEATHER THREAT EMERGING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS TODAY 🚨 SPC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK | NOVEMBER 1, 2026 The Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Convective Outlook is highlighting portions of the Southern High Plains for severe weather potential today and tonight as a strengthening upper-level weather system moves eastward across the Desert Southwest and into the southern Rockies. A Slight Risk (Level 2 of 5) has been outlined across parts of eastern New Mexico and West Texas, where atmospheric conditions are expected to become increasingly favorable for organized severe thunderstorms by late afternoon and evening. 🌩️ THE BIG PICTURE A dynamic upper-level disturbance moving out of the Southwest will gradually overspread a moist and increasingly unstable air mass developing across the region. As Gulf moisture continues to stream northward, dew points are expected to climb into the 60s across parts of eastern New Mexico and West Texas, providing fuel for thunderstorm development. Meanwhile, stronger winds aloft associated with the approaching trough will create an environment supportive of storm organization. The combination of increasing instability, powerful wind shear, and large-scale lift is expected to allow thunderstorms to strengthen rapidly later today. 🌪️ PRIMARY THREATS ✅ Damaging straight-line winds in excess of 60 mph ✅ A few tornadoes, especially within any embedded rotating storms ✅ Isolated severe hail ✅ Fast-moving organized thunderstorms capable of producing dangerous weather conditions after sunset 🛰️ ATMOSPHERIC SETUP Forecast soundings indicate strong wind profiles developing across eastern New Mexico into West Texas, with deep-layer shear values exceeding 50 knots in some locations. These ingredients may support a mixture of supercells and organized line segments as storms mature through the evening hours. The severe threat is expected to increase as thunderstorms encounter richer low-level moisture and a more unstable atmosphere across the Southern High Plains. Farther west across portions of Arizona, isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are also possible this afternoon as the initial energy associated with the approaching storm system arrives. Gusty winds will be the primary concern there. ⏰ TIMING 🌤️ Morning: Relatively quiet conditions 🌩️ Afternoon: Thunderstorm development begins across portions of Arizona and New Mexico ⚡ Late Afternoon & Evening: Storms intensify and organize across eastern New Mexico 🚨 Evening Through Overnight: Highest risk period for severe weather, including damaging winds and a few tornadoes across eastern New Mexico and West Texas 📡 STORM CHASERS ARE WATCHING CLOSELY This is not expected to be a widespread major outbreak, but the environment does support organized severe thunderstorms capable of producing localized significant impacts. Anyone with outdoor plans across the Southern High Plains should remain weather-aware through tonight and have multiple ways to receive warnings. The evolution of the upper-level pattern over the next several days will continue to be monitored closely as additional rounds of active weather may develop across portions of the central and southern United States. Stay with Weather On Da Fly for the latest forecast updates, mesoscale discussions, watches, warnings, and real-time storm coverage throughout the day. #WeatherOnDaFly #NewMexico #texas #arizona #oklahoma#kansas #severeweather #tornado #weather #Update #nola #SPC #trending #November #2026 #breakingnews #cyclone #tiktok #usa
🚨 WEATHER ON DA FLY: SEVERE WEATHER THREAT EMERGING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS TODAY 🚨 SPC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK | NOVEMBER 1, 2026 The Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Convective Outlook is highlighting portions of the Southern High Plains for severe weather potential today and tonight as a strengthening upper-level weather system moves eastward across the Desert Southwest and into the southern Rockies. A Slight Risk (Level 2 of 5) has been outlined across parts of eastern New Mexico and West Texas, where atmospheric conditions are expected to become increasingly favorable for organized severe thunderstorms by late afternoon and evening. 🌩️ THE BIG PICTURE A dynamic upper-level disturbance moving out of the Southwest will gradually overspread a moist and increasingly unstable air mass developing across the region. As Gulf moisture continues to stream northward, dew points are expected to climb into the 60s across parts of eastern New Mexico and West Texas, providing fuel for thunderstorm development. Meanwhile, stronger winds aloft associated with the approaching trough will create an environment supportive of storm organization. The combination of increasing instability, powerful wind shear, and large-scale lift is expected to allow thunderstorms to strengthen rapidly later today. 🌪️ PRIMARY THREATS ✅ Damaging straight-line winds in excess of 60 mph ✅ A few tornadoes, especially within any embedded rotating storms ✅ Isolated severe hail ✅ Fast-moving organized thunderstorms capable of producing dangerous weather conditions after sunset 🛰️ ATMOSPHERIC SETUP Forecast soundings indicate strong wind profiles developing across eastern New Mexico into West Texas, with deep-layer shear values exceeding 50 knots in some locations. These ingredients may support a mixture of supercells and organized line segments as storms mature through the evening hours. The severe threat is expected to increase as thunderstorms encounter richer low-level moisture and a more unstable atmosphere across the Southern High Plains. Farther west across portions of Arizona, isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are also possible this afternoon as the initial energy associated with the approaching storm system arrives. Gusty winds will be the primary concern there. ⏰ TIMING 🌤️ Morning: Relatively quiet conditions 🌩️ Afternoon: Thunderstorm development begins across portions of Arizona and New Mexico ⚡ Late Afternoon & Evening: Storms intensify and organize across eastern New Mexico 🚨 Evening Through Overnight: Highest risk period for severe weather, including damaging winds and a few tornadoes across eastern New Mexico and West Texas 📡 STORM CHASERS ARE WATCHING CLOSELY This is not expected to be a widespread major outbreak, but the environment does support organized severe thunderstorms capable of producing localized significant impacts. Anyone with outdoor plans across the Southern High Plains should remain weather-aware through tonight and have multiple ways to receive warnings. The evolution of the upper-level pattern over the next several days will continue to be monitored closely as additional rounds of active weather may develop across portions of the central and southern United States. Stay with Weather On Da Fly for the latest forecast updates, mesoscale discussions, watches, warnings, and real-time storm coverage throughout the day. #WeatherOnDaFly #NewMexico #texas #arizona #oklahoma#kansas #severeweather #tornado #weather #Update #nola #SPC #trending #November #2026 #breakingnews #cyclone #tiktok #usa
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Sweater #fyp #sweater #OOTD #outfit




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