@global.intel.ltr: The worst predictive tool on Wall Street. The Dot Plot. #federalreserve #interestrates #dotplot #wallstreet #economy

Global Intelligence Letter
Global Intelligence Letter
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Monday 27 July 2026 18:17:36 GMT
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donkeydinners
donkeydinners :
We’ve been in interest rate lala land since the dotcom bubble burst. Before then, fed funds hovered in a range between 5-7% baring short sharp shock like Volker did in ‘82. Low rates to accommodate a series of crises and keep the stock markets pumped, basically putting a brick on the accelerator and leaving it there, has wiped out savings for the middle class and forced money into assets making housing unaffordable for the following generations. But boomers and gen x had no choice. And that was the whole point: drive money into property and stocks. If the risk free rate is 75 bps. $750 annually for a $100,000 account is a non-starter and it makes any mediocre business proposal at 1% a winner. So we’ve ended up with a bunch of bloated over-leveraged crappy zombie corporations that spend profits on buying their own shares and lobbying and now they rule the fucking roost. Pisses me off because I saw it all play out in realtime thinking when are they going to get back into a sustainable range. At least we’ve been moving in the right direction to the low end of the historical band
2026-07-27 20:43:44
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gayla091
Gayla :
🤗🤗🤗
2026-08-04 12:27:34
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