@nicholas_crown: The most popular "fear gauge" in the market isn't a call on fear at all And it's most useless when the market becomes one big trade The index looks calm while the sector leadership whips around The biggest moves down in this environment happen without warning or even a strong catalyst This is when a theme starts to grow tired and break If you want to see how we're trading the end of the AI hardware cycle click the "LINK" in my profile

Nicholas Crown
Nicholas Crown
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Region: US
Friday 31 July 2026 19:00:10 GMT
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martijnjanssen92
Martijn :
The main reason: AI investments are huge and savings for companies is very limited. So chippers and hyperscalers can only crash. Also: SPVs not structured well, deprecation 6 years in stead of 3 etc
2026-09-23 14:31:25
0
jacobdavid318
jacobdavid318 :
so are u telling me valuations for companies like NVIDIA TSM MICRoN AND GOOGLE for example today after the past months correction. Is still to high?? I dont believe so!!
2026-08-01 00:35:51
6
derylpriebe507
Deryl :
The differences between 1999 and 2026 are very large. In 1999 we were buying companies with an idea and a dream but no cash flow, today the leaders have trillions of dollars of cash and trillions of dollars of cash flow. The crash of the fibres when Norteland Enron almost became the largest companies in the world was fraud.
2026-08-08 14:03:58
1
cynicalcalls
cynicalcalls :
I’m scared
2026-07-31 20:07:12
1
rhxhqjwbgifiwnrbfufjwoq
Peaoe ple :
How does one trade volitilitrous?
2026-07-31 19:59:50
0
nickperrin22
Nick :
Lost me when you said in 1999 the market went up 86%. Did I miss the 86% move this year?
2026-08-26 17:42:45
2
jerryhorak
Jerry :
Solid. If you really want to let the secret out, don't forget the other constituent volatility measures DSPX, COR1M-1Y, and COR10D-90D. Stack that with VIXEQ and other higher-order volatility VVIX, SKEW, and LTV and you're cooking.
2026-08-01 22:11:45
4
homeshopfinds2
PicardGolf :
10 companies hold close to 50% which is not good.
2026-09-10 01:28:29
1
ryan858585
Ryan97597 :
Yeah, eventually it will drop. Humans just look so hard for historical patterns. The issue is there are so many other variables that are present now.. that weren't present in the dot.com bust. Trillions printed since then, just to name one..
2026-07-31 21:49:27
0
user7691041402239
Black29 :
Good thing 2026 AI isn’t 1999 Internet, huh? 😉
2026-08-04 08:40:59
4
n3uro_nomad
n3uro_nomad :
Which doesn’t matter anymore, due to FED is changing the way inflation is calculated
2026-08-01 00:27:33
1
jmacky740
jmacky740 :
Only the future will ever know.
2026-08-01 01:22:01
1
whydouask40
whyDoUask :
no
2026-08-04 19:20:01
1
evanbrentdooley
@brendooley0 :
great analysis. I personally believe most are out of touch with what an expansion of volatility can do. commodity traders understand this better than equity traders in my opinion. going to be interesting when the music on this current AI market has played out
2026-07-31 20:02:10
3
oldtymer11
Oldtymer :
Not the same
2026-08-10 17:59:31
1
buybooksnotbeer
BuyBooksNotBeer :
There’s a big difference bwteeen the 2000 tech bubble and now- there wasn’t a FED put back in 2000, no QE mechanism.
2026-07-31 23:17:52
1
kimmichira
kimmichira :
Link
2026-08-22 19:06:32
1
poseidene
Poseiden :
LINK
2026-08-15 02:27:23
1
ryan.andrew.k
Ryan Andrew K :
When Down syndrome mofos cosplay successful options/VIX traders and there are plenty of suckers falling for it. 🤡🤡🤡
2026-08-15 09:08:32
0
callsovershares
callsovershares :
Confirming Crown’s point. VXN hasn’t been under 20 since January meaning everyone has just been paying exorbitant prices for their tech names while all the old economy stalwarts can only dream of tech’s gains.
2026-08-01 00:59:45
0
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