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@between.calls.and: Story time and yap about my ankle fracture while I sew something for my tiny chaos coordinator’s birthday Ask me all the questions! #storytime #yap #recoveryjourney #externalfixator #fracture

Between Calls and Chaos
Between Calls and Chaos
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Wednesday 12 August 2026 01:14:59 GMT
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malibuhamesh
MalibuHamish :
I can’t believe you didn’t take an ambulance, can we pics and videos from hospital.
2026-08-12 10:18:46
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Did the market see the 1987 crash coming? In options theory, prices reflect expectations. So if out-of-the-money puts are consistently more expensive than equivalent calls, the market is pricing in more downside risk. That skew — the difference in call vs. put prices — is called the skewness premium, and it gives us a rare window into market psychology. In the years leading up to the ’87 crash, puts got more and more expensive… even as markets rallied. That’s institutional fear — priced in. But here’s the twist: the actual crash caught markets by surprise. Skewness premium dropped just before the event, meaning nobody saw it coming at that moment. This is how professionals use option pricing to extract implied return distributions — not just volatility, but skew, kurtosis, and other shape parameters of the future. It’s not perfect prediction. It’s what the market believes, mathematically. #quantfinance #optionpricing #blackscholes #skew #impliedvolatility #marketcrash #1987crash #financehistory #hedgefunds #financialliteracy #tradingstrategy #volatility #riskmanagement #financetok #statisticalarbitrage #tradereducation #econ #stockmarketcrash #tiktokfinance
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