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Holy shit! WHAT FORECASTERS ARE SAYING AND HOW HAWAIʻI SHOULD PREPARE NOAA reports that El Niño is continuing to strengthen, with more than a 90% chance of becoming a very strong event during the fall and winter of 2026–27. For October through December, forecasters estimate a 75% chance that it will reach historic strength, with a three-month temperature index of at least 2.5°C above normal. Although people sometimes call an event of this magnitude a “Super El Niño,” meteorological agencies officially use terms such as “strong” or “very strong.” This does not guarantee that Hawaiʻi will be struck by another hurricane or experience any one specific weather event. However, a powerful El Niño can increase the likelihood of unusual weather patterns and greater tropical cyclone activity in the Central Pacific. After what Hawaiʻi has already experienced this season, we should not become complacent. Residents should continue monitoring official forecasts, keep emergency supplies replenished, replace any food, water, medicine or batteries used during the last storm, inspect and repair damaged roofs and windows, and keep evacuation and family communication plans ready. Those who depend on electricity for medical equipment should have a backup plan. This information should not be used to frighten people. It should encourage preparation. Forecasts will change as new information becomes available, but preparing early is always better than rushing at the last minute. Stay informed, stay prepared and look out for your neighbors, especially kūpuna, people with disabilities and families still recovering from the recent storm. Source: [NOAA Climate Prediction Center, September 10, 2026](https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml)
Holy shit! WHAT FORECASTERS ARE SAYING AND HOW HAWAIʻI SHOULD PREPARE NOAA reports that El Niño is continuing to strengthen, with more than a 90% chance of becoming a very strong event during the fall and winter of 2026–27. For October through December, forecasters estimate a 75% chance that it will reach historic strength, with a three-month temperature index of at least 2.5°C above normal. Although people sometimes call an event of this magnitude a “Super El Niño,” meteorological agencies officially use terms such as “strong” or “very strong.” This does not guarantee that Hawaiʻi will be struck by another hurricane or experience any one specific weather event. However, a powerful El Niño can increase the likelihood of unusual weather patterns and greater tropical cyclone activity in the Central Pacific. After what Hawaiʻi has already experienced this season, we should not become complacent. Residents should continue monitoring official forecasts, keep emergency supplies replenished, replace any food, water, medicine or batteries used during the last storm, inspect and repair damaged roofs and windows, and keep evacuation and family communication plans ready. Those who depend on electricity for medical equipment should have a backup plan. This information should not be used to frighten people. It should encourage preparation. Forecasts will change as new information becomes available, but preparing early is always better than rushing at the last minute. Stay informed, stay prepared and look out for your neighbors, especially kūpuna, people with disabilities and families still recovering from the recent storm. Source: [NOAA Climate Prediction Center, September 10, 2026](https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml)

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