@fox9mn: What does a 40% chance of rain actually mean? FOX 9 Meteorologist Keith Marler takes a closer look at the confusing math behind forecast percentages.

FOX 9 | KMSP
FOX 9 | KMSP
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Region: US
Monday 14 September 2026 19:58:30 GMT
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nickcannon9
Mother Teresa :
“I thought we didn’t need math in TV” 😂
2026-09-14 22:45:06
4923
jeffreyboyy
Jeffrey :
Electoral college rain 😭
2026-09-14 23:05:43
1889
wavy_319
David :
60% of the time it works every time
2026-09-14 23:07:33
6885
christian_sampson
christian s :
Only a meteorologist gets paid 100% to get it wrong 40% of the time
2026-09-15 00:32:45
2797
michael.mills995
michaelmills3116 :
40% means. There is a 100% chance of rain over 40% of the area
2026-09-15 00:50:05
35
omgwow1776
Omg,Wow,1776 :
So what he’s saying is. They have zero clue if it’s really going to rain until it starts raining.
2026-09-14 23:49:39
797
kobadc
Donquai Crawley :
Then explain this?
2026-09-15 01:48:21
26
coleman6ranch
P. Coleman :
he left out the part where washing your car adds 30% chance it rains in 80% of the coverage area and you multiply that which gives you 2400% chance of rain!
2026-09-14 23:09:28
798
heyitsashley3689
Hey, it’s Ashley ❤️ :
I always thought it was 40% chance it’s gonna rain in the viewing area
2026-09-14 23:41:18
19
johnktimxx5
johnktimxx5 :
I now know less than before
2026-09-15 02:32:19
19
ellen.ln_
✨ Ellen ✨ :
He forgot to mention that if you mow the lawn there’s a 100% chance it will rain in the next 24 hours
2026-09-15 02:39:53
207
64c10dude
64c10dude :
Nah. it means 40% chance of rain happening in the viewing area
2026-09-14 23:59:06
90
sabs129
sabs129 :
this is my first time ever seeing this gentleman and he is already in my top-3 weatherman conversation
2026-09-15 01:34:37
77
skyeglam5
skyeglam :
Wait so if he doesn’t use percentages, what does he use?
2026-09-15 22:54:46
0
trottydaddydiesel
GrandMasterDab :
A Meteorologists job is the only job you can be 100% wrong and still keep your job...
2026-09-15 03:22:48
8
nope.not.today.96
Nope :
but 15 minutes could save 15% on your car insurance
2026-09-15 02:04:15
6
young_354
Young :
Why is 40% easier to compute than 30% is the real question here
2026-09-15 01:15:00
11
user8060760525429
user8060760525429 :
This is the info we need! 😂
2026-09-14 22:17:42
105
skittoyoung
Young skit :
Protect this guy
2026-09-14 22:24:35
23
jrock.eth
JRock :
If there was an industry that needs AI it’s this one
2026-09-15 02:22:29
5
arlincoln
Abbey Lincoln :
I always say it’s a 50/50 chance for rain at any given time. I’m always right 😳
2026-09-14 23:30:14
7
ryanreed697
ryanreed697 :
and now to your meteorologist...
2026-09-15 00:00:02
5
jaredjameslange
jaredjameslange :
40% CHANCE. This is not hard and he just made it hard. Uggghhh
2026-09-15 04:45:12
0
sonicviolaplayer
sonicviolaplayer :
thanks science
2026-09-15 14:44:32
1
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