@pollar.news: On Monday in Cardiff the leaders of Plaid Cymru, the SNP and Sinn Féin signed a memorandum saying each of their nations has the right to decide its own future, and calling on the British government to "prepare for, plan and facilitate constitutional change". They signed as party leaders, not as governments. The film draws one line and asks who gets to draw it. In 2016, 51.9 of every 100 votes inside Great Britain said leave the European Union. Count the same ballots inside smaller lines and the verdicts change: Scotland 38.0, Northern Ireland 44.2, Wales 52.5, England 53.4. Scotland drew its own line once. In 2014, 44.7 of 100 said yes to independence, on a vote two governments had signed for in Edinburgh. In 2022 the UK Supreme Court ruled unanimously that the Scottish Parliament cannot hold that vote alone. What would a vote say now? Nobody knows; these are polls, not counts. With undecided removed: Scotland 52 yes (Survation, August), Wales 32 (Survation, same weeks), Northern Ireland 42 for a united Ireland (Institute of Irish Studies and Sunday Times, May). Andy Burnham told John Swinney a referendum was off limits in July and repeated it in writing on 10 September. On Saturday in Dublin Donald Trump said he would love to see a united Ireland and "it may as well happen now". Downing Street answered the same day: the support the Good Friday Agreement requires is not there. That agreement holds the only written rule: London must call a border poll when it appears likely a majority would vote for a united Ireland. It does not say what likely means. Scotland asked for the same rule and was told no. The Prime Minister is expected to meet all three next month. Sources: House of Commons Library, UK Supreme Court (23.11.2022), Northern Ireland Act 1998, Survation tables, Institute of Irish Studies, Sinn Féin, gov.scot, BBC, Guardian, RTÉ. #Cardiff #Scotland #Wales #NorthernIreland #UnitedIreland

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Tuesday 15 September 2026 19:00:03 GMT