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Wednesday 23 September 2026 03:37:00 GMT
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In 1943, the bombers that came back to base full of holes were studied to decide where to put more armor. The holes were on the wings and the tail, so the obvious thing was to armor the wings and the tail. A mathematician, Abraham Wald, said the opposite: armor the engine and the cockpit, where there are no holes, because the planes shot there didn't come back. They were only looking at the ones that survived. That's what happens when you look at the ten richest men in the world to learn what they did: you're looking at the planes that came back, and you don't see the thousands who did the same thing, with the same talent and the same hours, and didn't come back. Source: Wald (1943), Statistical Research Group. The full video, with what does predict who gets ahead, is on the channel. OnlyWay app (Android): https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=help.onlyway.app #success #survivorshipbias #luck #discipline #psychology
In 1943, the bombers that came back to base full of holes were studied to decide where to put more armor. The holes were on the wings and the tail, so the obvious thing was to armor the wings and the tail. A mathematician, Abraham Wald, said the opposite: armor the engine and the cockpit, where there are no holes, because the planes shot there didn't come back. They were only looking at the ones that survived. That's what happens when you look at the ten richest men in the world to learn what they did: you're looking at the planes that came back, and you don't see the thousands who did the same thing, with the same talent and the same hours, and didn't come back. Source: Wald (1943), Statistical Research Group. The full video, with what does predict who gets ahead, is on the channel. OnlyWay app (Android): https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=help.onlyway.app #success #survivorshipbias #luck #discipline #psychology
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