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Leo + Lucy
Leo + Lucy
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Tuesday 06 October 2026 16:52:18 GMT
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Christin May :
Just Heaven ❤️❤️
2026-10-06 17:42:08
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Afternoon Tropical Update: 1. NHC now says there is a 100% chance of development.  No surprise.  2. Absolutely nothing has changed from my morning post. Models continue to show a track between New Orleans and Pensacola.  3. As we said yesterday, the faster this develops,  the stronger it will be. If that happens, definitely looking at the possibility of a hurricane approaching the Northern Gulf coast on Friday.  4. If it's slower to develop, it will face more shear and will be weaker.  5. I'll say it again. This is NOT Milton. Conditions are completely different here. Please ignore those who are desperate for attention by focusing on worst case scenarios. We do our best to give the most realistic (and accurate) forecast of what will happen. In my opinion,
Afternoon Tropical Update: 1. NHC now says there is a 100% chance of development. No surprise. 2. Absolutely nothing has changed from my morning post. Models continue to show a track between New Orleans and Pensacola. 3. As we said yesterday, the faster this develops, the stronger it will be. If that happens, definitely looking at the possibility of a hurricane approaching the Northern Gulf coast on Friday. 4. If it's slower to develop, it will face more shear and will be weaker. 5. I'll say it again. This is NOT Milton. Conditions are completely different here. Please ignore those who are desperate for attention by focusing on worst case scenarios. We do our best to give the most realistic (and accurate) forecast of what will happen. In my opinion, "what if's" just add confusion and fear. 6. Anyone who lives in Florida knows tracks can (and often do) change. So, I discuss the most reasonable solution and if things change, we adjust. If I give you a million possibilities, is that really preparing you or just confusing you? In my opinion, it's the latter. 7. Rule #7. Nothing to freak out about in our area. However, as I said this morning, if you (or friends and family) live between Pensacola and NOLA, you should keep a close eye on what will likely be Isaias. The Gulf is plenty warm and can easily fuel a decent sized storm. Finally, as for our area: Flights ✅️ Forecast ☂️ Beach 🚫 Disney ☂️ Pet Walking ☂️ Cruise 🤢 Our rain has NOTHING to do with the tropics. It's a stalled out front for the next 3 days.

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