@zeroojuan: mura lang to! organize mo na card mo gamit itong automatic card holder. #card #cardholder #giftideas #cardholderwallet #rfidwallet

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Bryan tepase :
Ilang card kasya Jan
2026-10-14 02:20:24
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How wide your stop loss needs to be on election night: every S&P 500 futures election night since 2012, tested. Tonight is the US midterm election. We measured every election night from 2012 to 2024 on E-mini S&P (ES) futures, minute by minute from the 4 PM close to the next morning's 9:29, against 2,960 ordinary Monday to Thursday nights. Presidential nights: the median overnight range was 2.91% of the 4 PM price, against 0.67% on a normal night, 4.4x. Three of the four (2016, 2020, 2024) were wider than 97% of normal nights. Stops 0.5% above and below the close were both hit on 3 of the 4, against 6% of normal nights. On screen: November 8 to 9, 2016. ESZ6 fell 5.06% overnight, from 2,136.50 to 2,028.50, and locked at the CME limit around 11 PM. Midterm nights (2014, 2018, 2022): median range 1.05%, about 1.6x a normal night. A 1.5% stop (about 94 points at 2025 prices) was not reached on either side on any of the three. A 1% stop was hit once (2018, a short). The other way: size your stop from past election nights. Walked forward one election at a time, every rule we tried was blown out by 2016 (a 0.91% stop from 2012 and 2014, against a 5.06% fall). Caveats: 7 election nights is a small sample, and only 3 are midterms, so treat 1.5% as a floor, not a guarantee. 2010 is before our ES minute data. Not modelled: the results themselves, polls or options pricing. Takeaway: tonight, give your stop about 1.5%. I built this in QuantPad. It has every trade on the CME since 2010. Link in bio. #QuantPad #futurestrading #riskmanagement #stoploss #backtesting
How wide your stop loss needs to be on election night: every S&P 500 futures election night since 2012, tested. Tonight is the US midterm election. We measured every election night from 2012 to 2024 on E-mini S&P (ES) futures, minute by minute from the 4 PM close to the next morning's 9:29, against 2,960 ordinary Monday to Thursday nights. Presidential nights: the median overnight range was 2.91% of the 4 PM price, against 0.67% on a normal night, 4.4x. Three of the four (2016, 2020, 2024) were wider than 97% of normal nights. Stops 0.5% above and below the close were both hit on 3 of the 4, against 6% of normal nights. On screen: November 8 to 9, 2016. ESZ6 fell 5.06% overnight, from 2,136.50 to 2,028.50, and locked at the CME limit around 11 PM. Midterm nights (2014, 2018, 2022): median range 1.05%, about 1.6x a normal night. A 1.5% stop (about 94 points at 2025 prices) was not reached on either side on any of the three. A 1% stop was hit once (2018, a short). The other way: size your stop from past election nights. Walked forward one election at a time, every rule we tried was blown out by 2016 (a 0.91% stop from 2012 and 2014, against a 5.06% fall). Caveats: 7 election nights is a small sample, and only 3 are midterms, so treat 1.5% as a floor, not a guarantee. 2010 is before our ES minute data. Not modelled: the results themselves, polls or options pricing. Takeaway: tonight, give your stop about 1.5%. I built this in QuantPad. It has every trade on the CME since 2010. Link in bio. #QuantPad #futurestrading #riskmanagement #stoploss #backtesting

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