@commonsensegay: Replying to @Brody

Known-Intentional-Made new :

What pollsters and outsiders miss about the Texas electorate is there’s a baked in structural baseline for the conservative candidate by about +2. That’s because the state has a larger raw pool of reliable, high-propensity conservative voters. Even if Democrats mobilize urban areas and split independents, high turnout among older and rural voters keeps the math in the GOP's favor. If the typical late polling undercount holds, I'm predicting Abbott +7-9 and Paxton +2-4."