@arthur.colker: Welcome to the October 12th #midterms polling update - #Democrats advantage has stopped growing and things look to have stabilized with maybe some slight improvements for the GOP. I also examine the divergence between blue and red state performance for Democrats and what might be behind it. #politics #midterms2026 #democratsoftiktok

Arthur Colker
Arthur Colker
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Region: US
Monday 12 October 2026 22:24:42 GMT
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yorkpowerr
YORKPOWERS :
can you compare a week before the 2024 election polls to now
2026-10-12 22:47:13
32
benlovestorms
benlovestorms :
Minnesota is scarily swing
2026-10-13 01:13:05
2
leo_law89
Leo_Law89 :
Polls will tighten by week 2. Republican will come home. This may be a blue blip vs a blue wave.
2026-10-13 20:56:26
0
megs12x3x
Megan :
I trust you but I still feel sick and full of dread lol. Are you going to be live election night 😅
2026-10-13 00:16:17
23
ryes55
ethanrae :
MN and MI have both been seriously targeted by GOP over the last several years. FL also has a Progressive that is polling very well, and hasn’t been targeted as heavily as modern swing states.
2026-10-12 23:36:14
14
alvaro.c.sanchez
Alvaro :
The polling differences between red and blue states just makes me wonder about how they are stratifying the sample. And therefore, makes me worried about validity of the polls. I say this as a liberal.
2026-10-14 14:29:09
0
suzanna_for_georgia
Suzanna for Georgia :
Please do Georgia’s first day of early voting tomorrow morning!!!!!
2026-10-13 21:02:06
1
liamstoniermcdonald
LiamStonierMcDonald :
I feel like, you have to do your own math on-top of these polls that come out. For example, democrat polling are probably right, but one must add 5% ontop of the republican polling because, haven’t they always, over preformed. Since 2016?
2026-10-12 22:32:02
9
kermit_the_chef
Kermit The Chef :
Flanagan is going to win by more than these polls are saying.
2026-10-13 02:31:23
6
konrad8989
konrad8989 :
It is fascinating how it is the quite the opposite over on X; there, way more people expect a Republican hold (at least for the Senate) or even a Republican sweep. It will be interesting to see who turns out to be right, left-leaning TikTok or right-leaning X
2026-10-14 11:14:28
0
karthikmramalinga
Karthik :
Wow
2026-10-12 23:08:01
0
ryes55
ethanrae :
Where are you Mr Colker? Need my fix!
2026-10-14 18:46:21
1
thegoldenlifeofauggie
thegoldenlifeofauggie :
Thanks for the thorough analysis!!
2026-10-12 22:43:57
2
declarer
declarer :
We need the young voters to get to the polls.
2026-10-13 01:59:27
3
goldenjosh69
JoshTaylor69 :
It’s all Republican pollsters in Minnesota or shitty pollsters
2026-10-13 04:03:35
1
holliereg
Holliereg :
Polls have been so wrong for years
2026-10-13 00:44:29
1
mattyoof
Matthew :
I'm starting to feel optimism for SC after watching that debate
2026-10-13 03:00:49
0
friendo_78
Friendo_78 :
in Minnesota?? how? that's ground zero of being targeted
2026-10-13 13:22:33
0
jlsh5484
❌JLSH5484💙💙 :
💙💙💙
2026-10-13 00:44:25
1
robbierob4u
RobbieRob4u :
👍
2026-10-12 22:28:00
0
kellydianaaaa
KellyDianaaaa :
❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️
2026-10-13 04:05:36
1
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