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Pascaline :

konbyen jou l ka fè devan pòt la

2026-10-15 00:06:31

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2026-10-14 22:40:20

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The area of low pressure (90E) that NHC has been monitoring for development has showed increased signs of organization today (2 June). An area of sheared thunderstorm activity is observed to the north of the low-level center, along with fragmented curved bands over the northern portion of the circulation. Scatterometer wind data revealed the system had a closed circulation, and its definition has improved in recent passive microwave and visible satellite images. Based on these developments, the NHC is initiating advisories on the first tropical depression of the 2026 Eastern Pacific hurricane season, with an initial intensity of 30 mph (25 knots). The depression is moving slowly westward (280/3 knots), but is expected to move a bit faster toward the northwest during the next few days along the southwestern side of a steering ridge over the central portion of the basin. The track models are in very good agreement for this portion of the forecast, and the official NHC prediction lies between the simple and corrected-consensus aids. By days 4–5, a slowdown is forecast as the system moves underneath the ridge and steering currents collapse. There is increased track spread during this period, although most models generally show a slow westward or southwestward drift, which is reflected in the official forecast. Warm sea-surface temperatures of 28–29°C and strong upper-level divergence in a moist environment should allow for some strengthening during the next couple of days or so. However, easterly shear is forecast to increase by late week, which will likely limit the extent of strengthening that occurs. The official NHC forecast shows the system reaching tropical storm strength by Wednesday, with a peak intensity in good agreement with the HCCA consensus aid and the HAFS models. A weakening trend is forecast by this weekend as the system encounters a drier and more stable mid-level environment over cooler sea surface temperatures, and it is possible that the system could become devoid of convection by the end of the period. This was the 1st advisory issued for 01E, the source was from Forecaster Reinhart and National Hurricane Center (NHC) #easternpacific #tropicaldepression01e #pacifichurricaneseasonstarts #tropicaldepression #pacificocean

The area of low pressure (90E) that NHC has been monitoring for development has showed increased signs of organization today (2 June). An area of sheared thunderstorm activity is observed to the north of the low-level center, along with fragmented curved bands over the northern portion of the circulation. Scatterometer wind data revealed the system had a closed circulation, and its definition has improved in recent passive microwave and visible satellite images. Based on these developments, the NHC is initiating advisories on the first tropical depression of the 2026 Eastern Pacific hurricane season, with an initial intensity of 30 mph (25 knots). The depression is moving slowly westward (280/3 knots), but is expected to move a bit faster toward the northwest during the next few days along the southwestern side of a steering ridge over the central portion of the basin. The track models are in very good agreement for this portion of the forecast, and the official NHC prediction lies between the simple and corrected-consensus aids. By days 4–5, a slowdown is forecast as the system moves underneath the ridge and steering currents collapse. There is increased track spread during this period, although most models generally show a slow westward or southwestward drift, which is reflected in the official forecast. Warm sea-surface temperatures of 28–29°C and strong upper-level divergence in a moist environment should allow for some strengthening during the next couple of days or so. However, easterly shear is forecast to increase by late week, which will likely limit the extent of strengthening that occurs. The official NHC forecast shows the system reaching tropical storm strength by Wednesday, with a peak intensity in good agreement with the HCCA consensus aid and the HAFS models. A weakening trend is forecast by this weekend as the system encounters a drier and more stable mid-level environment over cooler sea surface temperatures, and it is possible that the system could become devoid of convection by the end of the period. This was the 1st advisory issued for 01E, the source was from Forecaster Reinhart and National Hurricane Center (NHC) #easternpacific #tropicaldepression01e #pacifichurricaneseasonstarts #tropicaldepression #pacificocean

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