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Saturday 24 October 2026 18:03:46 GMT
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With two weeks until Election Day, it’s been a while since I’ve done a projection. I feel polling has been hard to read as of late, but here is where my head is at for the final stretch. Looking at the map, it’s truly going to be a nail-biter in some states. I believe the most competitive battlegrounds will be Texas, Ohio, Maine, and Iowa. Although, I wouldn’t be surprised if we see an upset on either side of the aisle in a state like Kansas or Alaska, despite having Roger Marshall and Mary Peltola up in their respective races. To clarify, my margins are not necessarily likelihood to win, but rather predicted vote margins. I plan to do more projections as we get closer to Election Day and numbers change, but this is what I have currently. #election2024 #2026Elections #Senate #Politics #PoliticalTikTok
With two weeks until Election Day, it’s been a while since I’ve done a projection. I feel polling has been hard to read as of late, but here is where my head is at for the final stretch. Looking at the map, it’s truly going to be a nail-biter in some states. I believe the most competitive battlegrounds will be Texas, Ohio, Maine, and Iowa. Although, I wouldn’t be surprised if we see an upset on either side of the aisle in a state like Kansas or Alaska, despite having Roger Marshall and Mary Peltola up in their respective races. To clarify, my margins are not necessarily likelihood to win, but rather predicted vote margins. I plan to do more projections as we get closer to Election Day and numbers change, but this is what I have currently. #election2024 #2026Elections #Senate #Politics #PoliticalTikTok




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