@albertblackwell8: OK we have two scenarios possible for the northern area, neither are appealing. Forcing here looks incredibly strong which means storms will move quickly. But we have two storm modes possible. One is a single line that bows out and races east at around 60mph. The other scenario would see a broken line of supercells form along the warm front in northern IL through IN and fading in Ohio. With the line of storms, winds 80mph+ look possible, as the line itself is already moving at 60mph. If no gust front ahead of the line, we would have to include the embedded tornado risk which is likely. Hail should remain 2" or so with the heavy tilt of the storm clouds. With scenario 2 we would have to watch for supercells along and just south of the warm front with a few with potential to produce tornadoes and the chance to be EF2 or stronger would exist. Thats a lot to take in so ill go over the southern part in a separate post.
