@yzzy_luv: #oceansideca #fyp #halloween #spooky #clowns

💖Yzzy_luv💫
💖Yzzy_luv💫
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Tuesday 27 October 2026 07:52:43 GMT
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jessicas.adventurebook
Jessica :
I’m in Oceanside, I created a haunted doll maze , I’m off Tacayme drive .
2026-10-29 04:45:56
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nymgrace91
N.Y.M "Grace" 🌕 :
where at? 😱😱
2026-10-27 17:30:02
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Why does the president's party almost always lose the midterms? Since 1934 there have been 23 midterm elections. In 20 of them the president's party lost House seats, on average 27 seats (sum of all 23 changes: -621 seats / 23 = -27.0). From 1938 to 1994 it lost 15 times in a row, under Democratic and Republican presidents alike. The only gains: 1934 (Roosevelt, +9), 1998 (Clinton, +4) and 2002 (G. W. Bush, +8). Political science offers two explanations. First, the public behaves like a thermostat: when government spending goes up, the public's preference for more spending goes down, and the other way around (Wlezien, 1995). Second, balancing: in generic congressional polls from 16 postwar midterm years, preferences almost always move toward the out party as the campaign progresses, by an estimated 5.3 percentage points from February to November. The shift is not a referendum driven by falling presidential popularity; some voters choose the other party to pull policy toward moderation (Bafumi, Erikson & Wlezien, 2010). What this says about power: winning is what triggers the counter movement. Sources 1. The American Presidency Project, UC Santa Barbara (last updated July 13, 2026). Seats in Congress gained/lost by the president's party in mid-term elections. https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/statistics/data/seats-congress-gainedlost-the-presidents-party-mid-term-elections 2. Wlezien, C. (1995). The public as thermostat: Dynamics of preferences for spending. American Journal of Political Science, 39(4), 981-1000. https://doi.org/10.2307/2111666 3. Bafumi, J., Erikson, R. S., & Wlezien, C. (2010). Balancing, generic polls and midterm congressional elections. The Journal of Politics, 72(3), 705-719. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022381610000113 Photos: Wikimedia Commons. Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1944, by Leon Perskie (FDR Library, CC BY 2.0); Bill Clinton, official portrait by Bob McNeely, The White House (public domain); George W. Bush, official portrait by Eric Draper, The White House (public domain); United States Capitol, west front, Architect of the Capitol (public domain). #midterms #politicalscience #psychology #election #congress #democracy #power #libraryofalexandria
Why does the president's party almost always lose the midterms? Since 1934 there have been 23 midterm elections. In 20 of them the president's party lost House seats, on average 27 seats (sum of all 23 changes: -621 seats / 23 = -27.0). From 1938 to 1994 it lost 15 times in a row, under Democratic and Republican presidents alike. The only gains: 1934 (Roosevelt, +9), 1998 (Clinton, +4) and 2002 (G. W. Bush, +8). Political science offers two explanations. First, the public behaves like a thermostat: when government spending goes up, the public's preference for more spending goes down, and the other way around (Wlezien, 1995). Second, balancing: in generic congressional polls from 16 postwar midterm years, preferences almost always move toward the out party as the campaign progresses, by an estimated 5.3 percentage points from February to November. The shift is not a referendum driven by falling presidential popularity; some voters choose the other party to pull policy toward moderation (Bafumi, Erikson & Wlezien, 2010). What this says about power: winning is what triggers the counter movement. Sources 1. The American Presidency Project, UC Santa Barbara (last updated July 13, 2026). Seats in Congress gained/lost by the president's party in mid-term elections. https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/statistics/data/seats-congress-gainedlost-the-presidents-party-mid-term-elections 2. Wlezien, C. (1995). The public as thermostat: Dynamics of preferences for spending. American Journal of Political Science, 39(4), 981-1000. https://doi.org/10.2307/2111666 3. Bafumi, J., Erikson, R. S., & Wlezien, C. (2010). Balancing, generic polls and midterm congressional elections. The Journal of Politics, 72(3), 705-719. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022381610000113 Photos: Wikimedia Commons. Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1944, by Leon Perskie (FDR Library, CC BY 2.0); Bill Clinton, official portrait by Bob McNeely, The White House (public domain); George W. Bush, official portrait by Eric Draper, The White House (public domain); United States Capitol, west front, Architect of the Capitol (public domain). #midterms #politicalscience #psychology #election #congress #democracy #power #libraryofalexandria

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