@nytimes: Our live election night forecast, known as “the Needle,” estimates which party will win the Senate and House in real time. Nate Cohn, chief political analyst for The New York Times, explains how it works. #election2026 #news #midterms Video by Nate Cohn, James Surdam, June Kim, Amílcar Cariño Charlemagne, Laura Bult and Claire Hogan/The New York Times