@cutegirl.chii: Bby😆

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Friday 06 November 2026 11:30:48 GMT
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Downstream of amplified mid-level ridging, which may have reached peak amplitude across the U.S. Intermountain West and Rockies through much of the Canadian Prairies, a number of digging shortwave perturbations are forecast to contribute to the evolution of a more prominent, positively tilted mid-level trough. This may encompass most areas near and east of the Mississippi River through the Atlantic Seaboard by 12Z Friday. One leading shortwave trough is generally forecast to turn east and northeast of the Allegheny/Cumberland Plateau through the northern Mid-Atlantic by late this afternoon, before undergoing considerable deformation as it progresses farther to the northeast. This may be accompanied by an initially modest surface cyclone, which could undergo notable deepening during the day while redeveloping east-northeast of the Blue Ridge, before occluding across the northern Mid-Atlantic this evening. …Northern Mid-Atlantic… Low-level moisture return inland from the coast appears likely to be rather limited. However, boundary-layer dew points increasing through the lower to mid-50s °F, within a corridor along a warm frontal zone east of the surface low, may be sufficient to yield mixed-layer CAPE in excess of 500 J/kg when coupled with mid-level cooling (including 500-mb temperatures of -20 to -22 °C). Based on forecast soundings, this may include buoyancy rooted near and just above the surface, as low-level lapse rates steepen beneath the cold air and boundary-layer humidity remains relatively high along the frontal zone. Although low-level hodographs might not become more than modestly large, moderate deep-layer shear could make the environment conducive to the development of one or two supercells capable of producing a tornado. Otherwise, stronger storms this afternoon may produce small to marginally severe hail and locally strong wind gusts before weakening by evening. A few strong to severe storms may impact the northern Mid-Atlantic this afternoon, with an isolated tornado or two possible. .#weather #tornadoes #severeweather #wind
Downstream of amplified mid-level ridging, which may have reached peak amplitude across the U.S. Intermountain West and Rockies through much of the Canadian Prairies, a number of digging shortwave perturbations are forecast to contribute to the evolution of a more prominent, positively tilted mid-level trough. This may encompass most areas near and east of the Mississippi River through the Atlantic Seaboard by 12Z Friday. One leading shortwave trough is generally forecast to turn east and northeast of the Allegheny/Cumberland Plateau through the northern Mid-Atlantic by late this afternoon, before undergoing considerable deformation as it progresses farther to the northeast. This may be accompanied by an initially modest surface cyclone, which could undergo notable deepening during the day while redeveloping east-northeast of the Blue Ridge, before occluding across the northern Mid-Atlantic this evening. …Northern Mid-Atlantic… Low-level moisture return inland from the coast appears likely to be rather limited. However, boundary-layer dew points increasing through the lower to mid-50s °F, within a corridor along a warm frontal zone east of the surface low, may be sufficient to yield mixed-layer CAPE in excess of 500 J/kg when coupled with mid-level cooling (including 500-mb temperatures of -20 to -22 °C). Based on forecast soundings, this may include buoyancy rooted near and just above the surface, as low-level lapse rates steepen beneath the cold air and boundary-layer humidity remains relatively high along the frontal zone. Although low-level hodographs might not become more than modestly large, moderate deep-layer shear could make the environment conducive to the development of one or two supercells capable of producing a tornado. Otherwise, stronger storms this afternoon may produce small to marginally severe hail and locally strong wind gusts before weakening by evening. A few strong to severe storms may impact the northern Mid-Atlantic this afternoon, with an isolated tornado or two possible. .#weather #tornadoes #severeweather #wind

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