@shivam.sharma85: Omar yells "I knew it!" the second the match ends. Priya scrolls back to his text from last week saying the opposite. He isn't lying: his memory rewrote the guess. That's hindsight bias, the "I knew it all along" effect. Before President Nixon's 1972 trips to China and the USSR, Baruch Fischhoff and Ruth Beyth asked people to estimate the odds of possible outcomes. After the trips, asked to recall their original estimates, people tended to remember giving higher odds to what actually happened and lower odds to what didn't (Fischhoff & Beyth, 1975, "I knew it would happen", Organizational Behavior and Human Performance). Fischhoff called it "creeping determinism". It's a tendency, not a rule for everyone every time. Tip: write your predictions down. #psychology #shorts #hindsightbias #memory #cognitivebias Music: "Street Party" by Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com), CC BY 4.0

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