@realmeowl_wx: Tropical Storm Pena🌀 (Pena maintained its strength professionally due to Light to Moderately Southerly Vertical Wind Shear and Warm Sea Surface Temperatures and the reason Pena is still an Tropical Storm is the Dry Air Intrusion that disrupts Thunderstorm Activity around the Storm🌀!) || Song: EDITORO FUNK Information for Tropical Storm Pena🌀: (from JTWC) Satellite imagery indicates that the convective structure associated with Pena has changed little over the past several hours. Deep convection has mostly remained confined to intermittent bursts near and north of the circulation, likely due to light to moderate southerly vertical wind shear affecting it. The latest subjective and objective intensities remain in the 35 to 50 mph (45 knots) range. Given these intensities and the steady satellite presentation, the initial intensity is held at 45 mph (40 knots). Light to moderate southerly vertical wind shear and potentially some drier mid-level air appear to be limiting Pena's ability to strengthen. Although guidance indicates that the shear should decrease during the next 12 to 24 hours, only a few intensity models support modest strengthening over the next several days, possibly due to occasional intrusions of dry mid-level air. Toward the end of the forecast period, vertical wind shear is expected to increase out of the west-southwest, which, combined with increasingly dry mid-level air, should favor some weakening. The latest NHC intensity forecast is very similar to the previous prediction and lies near the middle to upper end of the guidance envelope. #tropicalstorm #weatherupdate #foryoupage❤️❤️ #xyzbca #satellite
🎄⛈️🌀𝙼𝙴𝙾𝚆𝙻_𝚆𝚇🌀⛈️🎄
Region: PH
Monday 09 November 2026 09:57:11 GMT
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