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@rahmah.an6: امم ببكييي بآخر فيديو عند الان + حبيت حط هي الغنيه ما بعرف ليشش 😕🤏🏻 @Alan @نورالهدى🦋 #explore_اكسبلورر #الشعب_الصيني_ماله_حل #مالي_خلق_احط_هاشتاقات🧢

🌷rahmah
🌷rahmah
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Sunday 23 August 2026 23:03:33 GMT
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cddcchh8
flower :
رجعوهم مابدي اشتقت 😭😭😭
2026-08-23 23:11:39
14
ayshaahmed9133
عسوله :
يروحييي هم والله شتقت من الحين 😭😭❤️
2026-08-23 23:08:46
3
bkr.099
M'⭐ :
2026-08-24 00:17:26
1
ranimxtprt3
R🌝 :
2026-08-23 23:43:43
1
mimiii6252
ميمييي🥹💗 :
✨ حنيتها✨ 😕🤏🏻 @نورالهدى🦋 @Alan
2026-08-23 23:57:11
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sa_02110
💜 :
@Alan @نورالهدى🦋
2026-08-23 23:18:12
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shada6921
Shada :
😭😭😭😭
2026-08-23 23:12:57
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mimiii6252
ميمييي🥹💗 :
ياخييي صح بكيت بس والله ابدعتتيي😔🫶🏻 @نورالهدى🦋 @Alan
2026-08-23 23:57:54
1
sa_02110
💜 :
@نورالهدى🦋
2026-08-23 23:18:29
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sa_02110
💜 :
@Alan
2026-08-23 23:18:25
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shaam7266
shaam💚 :
💔💔💔😭
2026-08-23 23:07:40
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Omar :
😭😭😭
2026-08-24 06:15:36
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Eva cams :
🥰🥰🥰
2026-08-23 23:48:24
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b.r123451
🌹 بلقيس 🌹 :
@نورالهدى🦋 @Alan
2026-08-24 03:17:16
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vllp.7
رَ 🇸🇦 :
@نورالهدى🦋 @Alan
2026-08-23 23:08:06
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I thought that smoking was bad for me and that exercise was good. And yet, when I spoke to my mate Dave at the weekend in the pub, he told me about his uncle, who lived to 95 and yet smoked every day and never exercised once. This is an example of what philosophers and logicians call the 'anecdotal fallacy,' it is when we mistakenly use one story to override a general pattern. It's when somebody denies climate change because of one cold winter, or assumes seat belts aren't effective because they know a story about somebody who survived a crash without one. It's when we let one anecdotal story override mountains of evidence. 4 00 years ago, and before our talk of fallacies and biases, the philosopher Francis Bacon called this the idol of the cave. This is our tendency to trust our limited personal experiences over broader truths. We live in our own small caves of experience, and we assume that what we see there represents the whole world. The problem is that humans retain stories more than statistics. We remember the headline of the plane crash, rather than the millions who fly safely every day. We don't know anybody who's had a crash in the car while using their phone, and so we carry on doing so. The problem is that this leads to terrible decisions. We fear flying while we text in the car. We trust our uncle's advice over the general expert consensus. Bacon's message is as important today as it was back then. Do not confuse the shadows on your own cave wall for reality, because one story is only one data point. The general pattern, and the general rule, is often more important than the exception.
I thought that smoking was bad for me and that exercise was good. And yet, when I spoke to my mate Dave at the weekend in the pub, he told me about his uncle, who lived to 95 and yet smoked every day and never exercised once. This is an example of what philosophers and logicians call the 'anecdotal fallacy,' it is when we mistakenly use one story to override a general pattern. It's when somebody denies climate change because of one cold winter, or assumes seat belts aren't effective because they know a story about somebody who survived a crash without one. It's when we let one anecdotal story override mountains of evidence. 4 00 years ago, and before our talk of fallacies and biases, the philosopher Francis Bacon called this the idol of the cave. This is our tendency to trust our limited personal experiences over broader truths. We live in our own small caves of experience, and we assume that what we see there represents the whole world. The problem is that humans retain stories more than statistics. We remember the headline of the plane crash, rather than the millions who fly safely every day. We don't know anybody who's had a crash in the car while using their phone, and so we carry on doing so. The problem is that this leads to terrible decisions. We fear flying while we text in the car. We trust our uncle's advice over the general expert consensus. Bacon's message is as important today as it was back then. Do not confuse the shadows on your own cave wall for reality, because one story is only one data point. The general pattern, and the general rule, is often more important than the exception.
Sự ngọt ngào xuất hiện từ vẻ ngoài 🥰🍭 #arianagrande #nuochoa #apaniche
Sự ngọt ngào xuất hiện từ vẻ ngoài 🥰🍭 #arianagrande #nuochoa #apaniche
#quangio #quandui #quanmacnha #quandibien
#quangio #quandui #quanmacnha #quandibien
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#filmpaketsantet #dikiriminpaketsantet #paketsantet
#filmpaketsantet #dikiriminpaketsantet #paketsantet


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