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🇧🇷2026: BRAZIL Presidential Election Rating: The latest Palver rating, conducted from September 30 to October 3, 2026, shows a competitive first-round race between Flávio Bolsonaro and Luiz Inácio da Silva. In the first round, Bolsonaro leads with 47%, placing him 4 percentage points ahead of da Silva at 43%. The remaining candidates are considerably further behind: Renan Santos has 7%, while Augusto Cury and Ronaldo Caiado each register 1%. Romeu Zema is at 0% in the displayed rating. The distribution indicates a highly concentrated race at the top. Bolsonaro and da Silva together account for 90% of the first-round support shown in the poll, leaving the other four candidates with a combined 9%. This means that the main electoral contest is centered on the two leading candidates, while the smaller candidates occupy a much more limited position. The second-round scenario remains close. Bolsonaro receives 49%, compared with 44% for da Silva, producing a 5-point difference. Compared with the first round, Bolsonaro's figure increases by 2 points, while da Silva's increases by 1 point. The remaining 7% from the first-round field is therefore not represented by either candidate in the displayed second-round figures. Overall, the poll depicts a two-candidate contest with a relatively small gap between the leading candidates. The first round is separated by 4 points, while the projected runoff is separated by 5 points. The figures should be interpreted as a snapshot of the Palver survey for September 30–October 3 rather than as a prediction of the eventual election result. #brazil#president#elections#rating#geografer_map
🇧🇷2026: BRAZIL Presidential Election Rating: The latest Palver rating, conducted from September 30 to October 3, 2026, shows a competitive first-round race between Flávio Bolsonaro and Luiz Inácio da Silva. In the first round, Bolsonaro leads with 47%, placing him 4 percentage points ahead of da Silva at 43%. The remaining candidates are considerably further behind: Renan Santos has 7%, while Augusto Cury and Ronaldo Caiado each register 1%. Romeu Zema is at 0% in the displayed rating. The distribution indicates a highly concentrated race at the top. Bolsonaro and da Silva together account for 90% of the first-round support shown in the poll, leaving the other four candidates with a combined 9%. This means that the main electoral contest is centered on the two leading candidates, while the smaller candidates occupy a much more limited position. The second-round scenario remains close. Bolsonaro receives 49%, compared with 44% for da Silva, producing a 5-point difference. Compared with the first round, Bolsonaro's figure increases by 2 points, while da Silva's increases by 1 point. The remaining 7% from the first-round field is therefore not represented by either candidate in the displayed second-round figures. Overall, the poll depicts a two-candidate contest with a relatively small gap between the leading candidates. The first round is separated by 4 points, while the projected runoff is separated by 5 points. The figures should be interpreted as a snapshot of the Palver survey for September 30–October 3 rather than as a prediction of the eventual election result. #brazil#president#elections#rating#geografer_map

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